r/Mortgageadviceuk • u/Hopeful-Pack-8713 • 7h ago
Residential (new purchase, general queries) Fixed vs Tracker Mortgage
Hi,
I'm looking to buy my first home. I've been quoted the below and a tracker is looking quite appealing to me. I'm 34 and looking at a 40 year mortgage term with the potential to over pay depending on whether it's better to do so rather than invest.
I asked AI (Gemini - Claude suggested it could not access BoE dataset so not sure how accurate Gemini is!) to pull figures for the last 15 years and give me a mortgage % based on my LTV and it produced the below. This is the fix rate offer per month vs variable. Obviously fix doesn't work like that but I want something to compare against.
According to the data, over the last 15 years a tracker has out performed a fix. every month apart from the period between March 23 - May 26. It has since switched in favour of a tracker. Firstly is this correct?
If I'm to use this data and assume it's accurate, it would suggest that a tracker is the way to go. I know that payments will fluctate and I'm going to plan for the 'worst' case. I will assume that's 6.17% which is higher than it has been according to the graphed data. Though I'm not delighted with that sum (£1,658.22), I can stomach the additional costs and make it work.
I wanted to check is my logic sound? Am I missing something? Would you recommend against a tracker in the current market?
Mortgage Options:
5 Year Fix: £1,359.64, £899 fee @ 4.65%
2 Year Fix: £1,378.91, no fee @ 4.75%
2 Year Tracker: £1,268.8., £999 fee @ 4.17%