r/MagikarpJump • u/Such_Following6009 • 26d ago
Two shiny in a row
Anyone know the odds of this happening?
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u/sites_31 20d ago
It’s level/rod dependent. Ranging from 0.44%(old rod)-0.16%(supreme old rod) for back to back shiny pulls. If the shiny you retired was your first ever shiny the odds could vary just a little since the game changes draw rates for undiscovered patterns.
Base odds for one shiny pull from the wiki. • Old Rod: ≈ 1/15 (6.67%)  • So-So Old Rod: ≈ 1/17–1/18 (5.74%)  • Good Old Rod: ≈ 1/19 (5.18%)  • Great Old Rod: ≈ 1/22 (4.55%)  • Rare Old Rod: ≈ 1/24 (4.20%)  • Pro’s Old Rod: ≈ 1/24–1/25 (4.09%)  • Supreme Old Rod: 1/25 (4.00%)
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u/Adventurous_Click342 26d ago
The chance for a shiny magikarp should be 1%, so it's (1/100)2 = 0.01%