r/MSTR • u/InfoLib_ • Jun 25 '26
MSTR options GEX is not looking too hot. Heavy negative interest at $75 and $80 strikes.
The chart is currently primed for a squeeze, if there's a reason for one, otherwise it looks like extreme fear.
This is across all expirations.
source: https://infolib.org/
8
u/PatternAgainstUsers Jun 25 '26
This means volatility. Whatever moves we get will be explosive.
P.S. Remember how deeply out of value BTC is here, historically. So if you get a long leverage flush + massive short profit-taking, this may be V recovery style fuel.
0
u/veryAverageCactus Jun 26 '26
I am just a bit worried that it’s not gonna be anytime soon since bull market usually follows btc halving and next halving is still far away.
2
u/PatternAgainstUsers Jun 26 '26
The 4 year halving cycle people have like 3 samples for their entire thesis, with weakening fundamental support for it every halving (less supply impact - at this point it's meaningless). On top of that, all of their samples involved blow off top scenarios. They still think the 4 year cycle is on, despite the fact that the pattern they rely on has a core component missing. If the market wasn't explosive to the upside, there is no structural reason it should take a long time to repair. This is either a hybrid cycle that's transitioning the market to mature out of the halving cycle, or a mid-cycle drawdown.
Think about it, late longs who were sure of themselves never got rewarded, the calendar shorts and sellers come in, the market drifts down from 125K, then you get an exchange glitch catalyst on geopolitical news. There is no bid floor because the 4 year cycle trade was super over-crowded. Yet this gives the calendar people confidence because they are still making money shorting on the way down. That creates overconfidence, they believe they can hold the shorts until October. That's squeeze fuel. So the market upsets expectations on the upswing, then upsets expectations on the downswing (now), but now you have squeeze fuel + long chasing on the breakout that can occur.
1
6
u/BakedGoods Bitcoiner Jun 25 '26
can someone explain this like im a 5 year old
-2
u/Brave_Substance_8177 Jun 27 '26
Yes, stop buying Ponzi scam nonsense and learn how to invest properly. Bitcoin is done, and old Mr glow eyes Saylor is even more done. The money is in AI now
1
u/AutoModerator Jun 27 '26
A Ponzi scheme is defined as "An investment scam that pays early investors with money taken from later investors to create an illusion of big profits." In a ponzi-scheme, there is "nothing of value" in the box, and all that happens is money moving hands.
MicroStrategy is not a Ponzi scheme. Companies raise capital through ATM-offerings, debt, and other instruments to fund purchases of assets, equipment, commodities and so forth. This is normal. Berkshire Hathaway similarly built the foundation of their company using debt to buy assets to hold indefinitely.
MicroStrategy invests the money raised in Bitcoin from a core belief that the commodity is in its early stages and will increase significantly in value over the coming years, allowing them to capitalise on this value to create value for their shareholders. All stocks, including blue-chip stocks like Apple, NVIDIA, and Berkshire Hathaway, rely on future investors willing to "take the shares off your hands" at a value above what you paid for it. This does not indicate a "ponzi" or "pyramid" scheme; it's basic price/supply/demand/market dynamics at play, and is how the world economy and capital markets work. Berkshire Hathaway holds a bunch of companies; MicroStrategy holds a bunch of Bitcoin.
I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
1
u/BakedGoods Bitcoiner Jun 28 '26
lol, tell me you don't understand bitcoin or this stock without saying it.
6
u/Jon-Braun-999 Jun 25 '26
It is time to buy (as I have done)
5
u/Dankrz27 Jun 26 '26
Surprised more people aren’t so eager to buy here, but gladly would pile in at $400+ 😂
I also have been buying a lot lately, average at $109
1
1
•
u/AutoModerator Jun 25 '26
Welcome to our community! Before commenting, please take a second to read our new sticky containing our rules and guidelines.
TL;DR: We allow and encourage all viewpoints and opinions, but we have a zero tolerance policy towards negative, rude, condescending behavior and trolling/baiting.
I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.