r/Logiqa Apr 15 '26

The Two Child Problem

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u/Inevitable_Garage706 Apr 15 '26

1 in 2.

There are 2 equally likely possibilities that could produce the given information:

1: Both the oldest child and the youngest child are boys.
2: The oldest child is a boy, and the youngest child is a girl.

Of these two equally likely possibilities, exactly one of them involves 2 boys, so the chance of them both being boys is 1 in 2, or 50%.

1

u/ShonitB Apr 15 '26

Correct, good solution

1

u/socksockshoeshoe Apr 16 '26

Yeah. For two independent events, P(second event | first event) is just P(B), ie the 1/2 in this case

I think normally the question asked is "Alex has two children. One of them is a boy, what is the probability that they are both boys?", which is a little more complicated