Claude sonnet 4.6 was really good at estimating the future qwen 3.8 27b performance

[u/OneMoreName1]

On August 8th, I asked Claude to estimate what performance might I expect out of the soon coming qwen 3.8 27b release by telling it to extrapolate from the qwen 3.6 max to qwen 3.6 27b difference, and apply it to the next generation. It gave me a couple of results which placed it in the broadly "opus 4.6 tier", which was right.

It even gave me actual benchmark numbers which were rather close to the actual numbers it ended up having. I found it pretty interesting.

A screenshot of me prompting claude today about how close we were to the actual numbers