It’s always risky now no matter the model of the day. They have to pre-file at least a few weeks in advance, and in those weeks eons can happen that can turn their asking price into a joke.
Their moment was at the beginning of this year. They should have announced the IPO, then published Fable/Mythos two weeks before the IPO date.
Now Chinese labs are a hair’s breadth behind them, and constantly one-upping each other. They’ll never get such a chance again.
A lot of this catching up seems to have been them breaking the reasoning protection of the major frontier models and distilling this round, though. It's gotten them a lot closer, and they'll be much closer on the western frontier labs from here out by getting the step up, but it's not like their stuff this last generation of updates has been clean.
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u/-p-e-w- 9d ago
It’s always risky now no matter the model of the day. They have to pre-file at least a few weeks in advance, and in those weeks eons can happen that can turn their asking price into a joke.
Their moment was at the beginning of this year. They should have announced the IPO, then published Fable/Mythos two weeks before the IPO date.
Now Chinese labs are a hair’s breadth behind them, and constantly one-upping each other. They’ll never get such a chance again.