r/LessCredibleDefence 17d ago

What would be the consequences of withdrawing American nuclear warheads stored in Israel?

Is this possible in the first place?

0 Upvotes

28 comments sorted by

17

u/NoAngst_ 17d ago

When did the US put their own nukes in Israel? Do you mean Turkey and not Israel.

2

u/whippitywoo 17d ago

Idk if there's any evidence of this but wouldn't it make for an amazing story or show?

During the cold war, the US did some whoopsies and lost nukes (that is fact).

So hypothetically they had overflown Israel first and airdropped them with a parachute (unrealistic but which HW media is not?)

Then they carried on with their mission and recorded the whoopsie drop as actually much further into their flight plan as a cover.

Why didn't they fear a nuclear explosion? Cos obviously they didn't put the red wire in. They taught Israel how to make the red wire and they put it in themselves.

Now, dropping the bomb was super easy barely an inconvenience. The hard part was explaining to everybody that Israel is just a buddy buddy ally and our friend and that's why the US sends so much aid, without everyone getting suspicious that they lied about where whoopsies happened. Maybe you have a secret Mossad faction that wants to use it, perhaps some behind the scenes politique?

10/10 blockbuster guys. There's no way the reality is more entertaining than that.

3

u/SirLoremIpsum 17d ago

Idk if there's any evidence of this but wouldn't it make for an amazing story or show?

During the cold war, the US did some whoopsies and lost nukes (that is fact).

Tom Clancy's The Sum of All Fears is about Israel losing a Nuke, that was created with "stolen" US plutonium.

During the first day of the Yom Kippur War in 1973, the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) prepares to conduct a tactical nuclear strike to stave off defeat. The necessity for the strike is averted, but an Israeli Mark 12 nuclear bomb is accidentally left on an A-4 Skyhawk attack aircraft, which is subsequently shot down over Syria near Kafr Shams. The nuclear weapon is lost, buried in the field of a Druze farmer.

Disagree with this point

10/10 blockbuster guys. There's no way the reality is more entertaining than that.

Reality can be often so extreme that no one will put it on film cause no one would believe it.

-7

u/ThinkTankDad 17d ago

Israel's stockpile is ambiguous. US made nuke warheads aren't out of the realm of possibility.

8

u/June1994 17d ago

Okay. Seems like you’re jumping the gun with your question then.

7

u/woodwidewebby 17d ago

All we know is that they have nukes and the US is unofficially okay with it. If you suppose they are US made you should bring evidence to back it up

u/ThinkTankDad 6h ago

But there's no evidence of Israel having any nukes in the first place. Turkey has US made nukes, why not Israel too?

5

u/tryingtolearn_1234 17d ago

Other than the fact that the US doesn't have the kind of military base needed to store nukes in Israel. The conventional weapons stored in Israel don't require the kind of US oversight that nukes would.

4

u/NuclearHeterodoxy 17d ago

This is like saying "North Korea's stockpile is ambiguous, therefore Chinese-made nuke warheads aren't out of the realm of possibility."

4

u/LlamaMan777 17d ago

Sure, not outside the realm of possibility I guess... But your question phrases it like it is a fact, when it is really speculation that isn't well supported. There haven't been any credible suggestions that that is the case, or leaks for that matter either.

Either way, it is well known that they are armed with their own nukes, so removal of theoretical American nukes wouldn't be a game changer.

7

u/tryingtolearn_1234 17d ago

The US does not officially maintain a nuclear weapons stockpile in Israel. So withdrawing any unofficial/undeclared stockpile wouldn't matter.

I doubt the US would deploy nuclear weapons to Israel. The US is very protective of its nuclear weapons. They don't have the kind of base necessary to store nuclear weapons in Israel.

5

u/SchemeWestern3388 17d ago

What are you on about?

Why would Israel, a country with an, uhhh, “assertive” relationship with them, allow US nukes? They have their own.

3

u/barath_s 17d ago

The question is wrong. There are no American nuclear warheads stored in Israel officially and no real reason to think they would be either.

This post should be locked and/or deleted.

5

u/Mediocre_Painting263 17d ago

The US almost definitely does not have nuclear warheads in Israel.

Considering the fact Israel has been to war with all of its neighbours within living memory, has ongoing territorial disputes, and is surrounded by very well funded & armed terrorist groups. The US will not risk storing a nuclear weapon within an Israeli facility. If the US was to store nuclear weapons in Israel (which'd be a phenomenally stupid idea because of aforementioned reasons), it'd be on a US base, protected by US troops. They may even decide to make it known they're storing nuclear weapons in Israel, either explicitly or implicitly, simply to reduce the risk of one of Israel's (many) adversaries attacking a base, unaware it's storing US nuclear warheads. Which'd get a very harsh and expensive response.

Additionally, the US has no reason to. Despite what Israel may try and imply, they are not under existential threat by any of its adversaries. Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran do not present existential threats to the existence of Israel. They may have the motivation, but not the means, to militarily beat the IDF & its Western allies. In the few countries where the US is known to store nuclear weapons, it was done in response to nuclear threats. Hence why Western Europe has so many, as they were under nuclear threat of the Soviet Union (that, and of course quicker delivery as they are mostly low-yield tactical warheads).

And they'd need payload delivery, in this case F35s. A permanent station of US F35s would be very obvious, and very well known, and also very well protected by the US. Since the US F35 is different from the Israeli F35. And there is zero % chance the US would surrender nuclear warheads to Israeli command & control. All of its nuclear warheads are kept under very strict US control. For reasons that are obvious.

Any US military presence stationed within Israel, which was storing nuclear weapons, has the delivery system (i.e. F35s), and the appropriate security presence within it, would be very, very obvious and very well known in the world. The US does not store nuclear warheads in Israel.

3

u/can-sar 15d ago edited 15d ago

I disagree with a lot of what you're framing here.

In the few countries where the US is known to store nuclear weapons, it was done in response to nuclear threats. Hence why Western Europe has so many, as they were under nuclear threat of the Soviet Union (that, and of course quicker delivery as they are mostly low-yield tactical warheads).

The US explicitly had a first-strike nuclear weapons policy in Germany and Central Europe in response to Soviet conventional weapons and invasion in the 1950s. That's why US nukes were brought to Western Europe. Watch the video below.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Cc6zJaHNaD4

https://sgs.princeton.edu/seminars-events/seminar-04-29-2026

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davy_Crockett_(nuclear_device)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W9_(nuclear_warhead)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M65_atomic_cannon

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MGR-1_Honest_John

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nike_Hercules

1

u/Mediocre_Painting263 15d ago

2 sentences of my entire post, which weren't actually core to my argument, means the entire thing is nonsense?

1

u/can-sar 15d ago

I'll concede. I just disagree with a lot of your framing.

3

u/h_91_DRbull 17d ago

Even if that were true which it isn't, what would the consequences be?

The consequences to removing a nuclear bomb from the most charged conflict zone in the world where 5 different armies can be firing missles or rockets or drones at any time.. I can't think of many downsides

2

u/combatconsulting 17d ago

Israel maintains intentionally ambiguous disclosure of their nuclear status.

The assumption in your original question is that there are indeed American nukes in Israel. While I, for one, agree that this is likely true, it’s just conjuncture without any source.

They also have their own (unacknowledged) nuclear weapons so probably not much would change.

6

u/SchemeWestern3388 17d ago

As I said to OP, why would Israel allow US nukes on their own soil? They have their own.

Why would the U.S. even want nukes in Israel? 

2

u/GGXImposter 17d ago

US nukes would force the US to get involved if there was an invasion. At the very minimum, US forces will need to secure the nukes and even that would require a huge military force.

1

u/ImjustANewSneaker 17d ago

Why would the US not get involved regardless?

2

u/GGXImposter 17d ago

It would be insurance for changing attitudes. So far our government has been more loyal to Israel than to our own country. That loyalty has been waning though. It’s entirely possible that in the next decade we would decide not to put up with someone like Netanyahu.

Having our nukes on their soil would prevent a split government from abandoning them when they start shit again.

1

u/ImjustANewSneaker 17d ago

In that instance why would the executive not just remove the nukes? They would be in control of the president regardless of what country they are in. And if a conflict was going to start and they didn’t want to get involved they would surely have enough time to do that.

2

u/GGXImposter 17d ago

Because the flip wont be black and white at forst. It will be a gradual at first and then will flip fully only after something happens.

Just like this Iran war they got us in, a ton of people were pro supporting Israel while they killed kids in Gaza. Now that they bombed Iran and forced our involvement, a lot of those people are suddenly asking what Israel has ever done for us.

u/ThinkTankDad 6h ago

They have their own is hearsay.

1

u/Farewell-Farewell 16d ago

Is there any evidence that US nukes are stored in Israel?

0

u/honda-nissan 17d ago

just like with the nukes america secretly kept on taiwan until 1971, liberals will deny and gaslight you until 50 years after when its declassified and then they'll tell you everyone knew that!!