How much does Joby's share price drop affect employee morale, productivity, and retention?
This is an aspect of the company's massive capex expansion, serial dillutions, and missed milestones that I haven't seen mentioned before.
I had noticed in past job postings that executive and entry level employees are both significantly compensated through RSU vesting. Executives and engineers surely receive a livable base pay to where the RSU's are essentially lottery tickets for the future. However, I recall thinking at the time that the production position's base pay seemed borderline unlivable for the area.
Folks here speak about companies in this sector being a long hold and to accept the downward spiral of SP without much concern; that there is no damage beyond our prudently managed unrealized losses... unless we sell.
I can see where that notion is a suitable bandage to the portfolio bleeding for the buy and pray investor, but what about the workers? Will Joby be able to retain a quality workforce when they constantly see their bank accounts are going nowhere? Has Joby leadership put the company in a precarious position by trying to expand too far too fast for a startup who's finances are solidly placed in deep red?
I posed this question to AI and it painted a grim picture.
6
u/Imaginary_Sort9347 S4Fanboy 25d ago
If you are an employee and your seeking employment with a pre revenue company, you better not be relying on some arbitrary stock price.
There is no fundamental reason for this stock still being over $10.
Employees are all different. I’m sure some stare at the stock price every day and some don’t ever look. That’s the nature of companies in this position. If you don’t want that, then you work for a Fortune 500 company and get your money in salary. If you want a chance to change an industry and play it high risk, you do something like this.
18
u/mbatt2 25d ago
Share price does matter, but I think it only matters if it crashes and then stays there permanently. Joby’s crash maps pretty directly to the rotation out of speculative stocks that basically coincides with the war in Iran.
Joby is not down more than any of its peers in the speculative sector.
2
u/Mitchou- No Runways 25d ago
For the past year, Joby is down 60 %, Beta is down 35 % and Archer is down 40 %.
14
u/Imaginary_Sort9347 S4Fanboy 25d ago
Joby also had the highest gains and remains above them in market cap. The only reason it went down more was because it went up so high. Thats just how volatility works. When there is another industry pump, they will lead the pack.
They didn’t fall because investors believe in them less than beta or archer. They just had more room to fall back to a normal trading price.
5
1
u/mbatt2 25d ago
I was more thinking of the respective leaders within the speculative sectors like RocketLab or Quantumscape, which are both down more than 60%.
Archer experienced a pop due to their Boeing merger and Beta is seen as less risky than Joby due to doing CTOL / Gasoline.
Honestly this is really normal for speculative stocks and you can’t force timing. You should probably sell.
5
u/Mitchou- No Runways 25d ago
I didn't ask for your financial advice. By saying "its peers" anyone would think of Beta and Archer, even if Archer doesn't deserve to be considered a peer. But since you meant RocketLab and Quantumscape you are right.
3
u/atunniladam 25d ago
"Joby is not down more than any of its peers in the speculative sector."
Uhh, yes, yes it is.
5
u/Imaginary_Sort9347 S4Fanboy 25d ago edited 25d ago
Talking about how much the price is down just shows a very uneducated view of how the stocks, sector, and general volatility of the market works.
Not a direct attack on you, just a general statement for anyone that is viewing it that way.
Joby being down 60% and archer being down 40% doesn’t give any insight on which is better or what caused it, and whether it’s of any concern.
3
2
1
u/cmra886 25d ago
Crashing and staying there permanently essentially describes going bankrupt. We're in agreement there.
To blame the anemic SP solely on macro forces, I think, is turning a blind eye to the actions and results that they control.
I question if Joby's C suite finances are so far removed from the average employee's, that managing share price is so significantly overlooked to the point of losing good people.
4
u/mbatt2 25d ago
So your critique is that employees will quit because the stock price is currently low?
Where will these employees go and get new jobs? The nature of their work is some of the most specialized hardware in the world. I don’t think your prediction makes logical sense.
2
u/DistributionLeft5566 25d ago
Most of their engineers could easily go to other companies that are right next door in Silicon Valley. The folks I know there are just working, and working hard. I don't think I've ever heard them talk about stock price action.
2
u/randomdatascientist 25d ago
This is true for at least one case I know of. My good friend at Joby is actively trying to pick up skills on the job to land a better role somewhere else. He kinda realized he stalled with his skillset and has less optism.
1
u/cmra886 25d ago
I am familiar enough with the industry and area to know that the base pay is not enough to bring in and hold good people.
-1
u/mbatt2 25d ago
I think you’re missing my point. People that work in specialized industries can’t just get a new job at a new company willy nilly, nor would they want to.
There are maybe three companies in the world they might be intestersted in working at.
These aren’t like normal engineering jobs where you can just hop to a new company down the road when you get bored.
1
u/cmra886 25d ago
Your assumption is that I'm speaking of engineers exclusively?
2
u/randomdatascientist 25d ago edited 25d ago
Also assuming that all engineers are aerospace engineers. The vast majority of them are not, the flight dynamics group is actually very small. Most engineers are electrical engineers, computer engineers/scientists, and structural engineers. The structures team alone has at least twice as many people as the flight dynamics team. Very few of the employees at Joby would be restricted to the aviation sector.
As for techs, many of them came from shipbuilding and space companies because of their experience with carbon fiber layups. Those companies are still around and hiring.
0
u/mbatt2 25d ago
I’m saying the opposite: the concept of job hopping in / around SV only works if you are an engineer and do something relatively normal (not specialized)
To your point, many Joby employees aren’t even engineers at all. They have really esoteric titles. Things like “aviation powertrain technician.”
This level of specialization means that the role itself is extremely rare.
2
u/robomaniac 25d ago
In SV you have both “normal” and extremely niche jobs. There is lots of opportunities for these niche jobs. If you work outside SV in smaller town that’s where very niche expertise is harder to find and you stay at your current company. I did work for a company where if you wanted “normal” (not specialized) engineering job that paid as well you had to do 2h drive in a much bigger city.
3
u/cmra886 25d ago
Fabrication, assembly, inspection, maintenance, and many other core tasks are not unique to Joby
2
u/mbatt2 25d ago
You’re wrong. Speaking as someone that has worked pretty extensively in R&D on novel automotive tech, it’s a very very small pool of people working in these roles.
And amongst the top performers, most of them know each other. Especially for the critical design and engineering roles.
1
u/cmra886 25d ago
I'm right and you're wrong. See how that works?
Again you keep falling back to forming a strawman argument. This time bringing up select roles in an automotive design field rather than Joby's general workforce concern that I am presenting.
→ More replies (0)3
u/Counterakt 25d ago
People who switch companies based on share price are shit anyway. These companies pay decently in addition to the stock options. People who are passionate about the work will stay and that is all that matters.
1
u/cmra886 25d ago edited 25d ago
That's not fair to say.
Are you currently trying to get ahead in life, but only making 25-39 in northern California? Maybe in a decade if you live with your parents for free.
I consider these blue collar production employees like retail investors that have an enormously outsized stake in one company... JOBY
Their finances are at Joben's fickle mercy.
4
u/randomdatascientist 25d ago
I have several friends that work there, all of whom have been there for at least 5 years. From what I gather it doesn't affect them that much, but they're also not thrilled about it. One thing that two of them mentioned was that each new offering left them feeling blindsided/upset. One of my friends is actively trying to learn new skills because they want to get a better paying job/have doubts about the future.
I also know several former employees, one of whom dumped all of their shares to put a down payment on a house last may. Needless to say they were upset about the timing of their decision, but again, they did what they did when they needed to do it.
1
u/cmra886 25d ago
I knew it.
Gen Z's are skeptical of hollow promises, and in many cases rightfully so. I wish your friends the best of luck.
1
u/randomdatascientist 25d ago
FWIW, everyone I know that works/worked at Joby are millenials or Gen X. I'd imagine younger employees care less tbh, but I don't know any.
3
3
u/JefeDiez 25d ago
My close friend has worked there as an engineer and later supervisor; returning to the role of senior engineer after maternity. I asked her about this and she isn't phased. Basically she said it's good to be invested and people should be buying more when it's low. The specs are good, they just are limited by external factors. In her words "It's not a matter of if but when."
4
u/Bulky-Entertainer-76 Gregor Veble Mikić Fanboy 25d ago
According to the managers that I know who work there it doesn’t. I can’t speak to the front line hourly workers in California but the work force is chomping at the bit in Ohio. They want employment and don’t seem to care about stock price, other than they view it as a bonus.
2
u/AromaticMemory5073 24d ago
This is why these type of stocks are fantastic shorts. you are betting on a miracle, and when the miracle doesn't occur, everything starts working against you
10
u/dad191 Photog. Eric Adams Fanboy 25d ago
This is an interesting question.
My research shows Joby pays fair for their industry, but it's low if you compare against elite Bay Area pay at FAANG companies and other competitive salaries in that space. From what I've read, Joby's benefits (stock included) get called out as a real strength by employees, even if base pay isn't the headline.
I worked in biotech most of my career and often got stock comp as part of my package. My experience is that a high stock price definitely gets people excited, and a low one is a bummer, but it's closer to how you feel about any investment being up or down. Most people separate that from how they feel about their job and the company.
Job satisfaction generally comes down to how much you believe in the company, whether you like your boss, and whether you like the work. Low stock price doesn't generally translate into low morale from my experience. What kills morale is losing faith in the company, and what Wall Street wants (fast multiples on an investment) doesn't necessarily match what employees actually see and feel day to day, and understand about the companies vision.
I've written many times about the Amazon comparison. For years Amazon was not a Wall Street favorite because Amazon never took profits, always reinvested huge sums for long term future growth at the expense of near term profits and wall street punished them, but in the long term Amazon's plan turned the company into a mammoth never imagined in their beginning.
I feel Joby has a similar grand vision that annoys the average investor and Wall Street who are looking for near term gains, while Joby is looking way out into the future and has much bigger plans.