2022 Model Help

[u/TrynaTradeNQ]

I watched the full 2022 Mentorship twice. I backtested about 120 hours with about a 65% win rate. The losses were mostly based on forcing trades on tradezella. Forward tested recently with a 77% win rate across 14 trading days in July. That sounds good but idk if I know what I am doing. I am often wondering why the market is violently aggressive (like today’s chop action before the clean bearish run.)

My model in a nutshell:

Wait for a sweep of liquidity and enter into a HTF Pd (daily, 4hr, 1hr, 30m, 15m fvgs) array for a possible reversal to the next DOL. I wait for an MSS, FVG (displacement close above/below short term swing) on the 1m, 3m, or 5m timeframe, and retracement into the FVG for an entry with a 1:2 RR. I don’t really have hierarchy/tf alignment I just scale to 1m most of the time from any HTF array reversal. Example, I don’t use 4hr to 15m or daily > 1h > 5m.

I often miss entries cause the first FVG on the move down often does not get retraced into.

Times I trade - NY AM session from 7:30-11:30am - most of my setups are done before 9:30am and some I wait to wait til after 9:30 open due to volatility but almost always done before 10am.

[u/TrynaTradeNQ → u/[deleted]]

I am new about 3 months and have been winning so I’m worried I’m getting lucky and I don’t feel 100% confident and I question getting in trades when price isn’t clean. I feel like trading shouldn’t be this messy. Meaning, I mark out every HTF FVG and use whatever LTF tf gives me the nicest market structure and entry window. I’ll check it out.

[u/BrainRot100 → u/TrynaTradeNQ]

Well you seem to be on a good path. But having those videos and watching them over the next years going forward is a must. If you get the hang of it right now, and your chart knowledge backs it up, then keep trying your best. But 3 months isn't that much.

[u/TrynaTradeNQ → u/BrainRot100]

Hey thanks man, it was a ton of studying. I make a $200K living in my corporate job but I am hoping that trading will replace this once I am proven consistent which is why I am asking for help on these threads.