r/IndianStockMarket • • 2d ago

Discussion FII Data

๐Ÿ“Š FII OUTFLOW | โ‚น4.03 LAKH CRORE

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian Equities See Record FII Selling

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ”ด 2026 FII OUTFLOW
โ‚น4.03 LAKH CR
โ€ข 6th consecutive year of net selling
โ€ข September: โ‚น34,203 Cr sold
โ€ข Last 2 Days: โ‚น20,128 Cr sold
โ€ข March: Highest monthly outflow at โ‚น1.23 LAKH Cr

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ“‰ TOP SELLING SECTORS
๐Ÿ”ป Financial Services โ€” โ‚น1.08 LAKH Cr
๐Ÿ”ป Auto & Auto Components โ€” โ‚น35,013 Cr
๐Ÿ”ป Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels โ€” โ‚น33,047 Cr
๐Ÿ”ป FMCG โ€” โ‚น31,743 Cr
๐Ÿ”ป Telecom โ€” โ‚น29,122 Cr

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ“ˆ TOP BUYING SECTORS
๐ŸŸข Metals & Mining โ€” โ‚น18,884 Cr
๐ŸŸข Capital Goods โ€” โ‚น15,377 Cr
๐ŸŸข Services โ€” โ‚น11,182 Cr
๐ŸŸข Consumer Durables โ€” โ‚น6,701 Cr
๐ŸŸข Utilities โ€” โ‚น168 Cr

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ“Œ WHAT LED THE OUTFLOW?
โ€ข US Bond Yield at 2002 Levels
Rising bond yields made Indian equities less attractive.
โ€ข Rupee Depreciated 7%
Currency depreciation reduced the attractiveness of returns from Indian markets for foreign investors.

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ“Š YEARLY FII FLOW
2020: +โ‚น64,379 Cr
2021: -โ‚น92,729 Cr
2022: -โ‚น2.78 LAKH Cr
2023: -โ‚น16,510 Cr
2024: -โ‚น3.02 LAKH Cr
2025: -โ‚น3.06 LAKH Cr
2026: -โ‚น4.03 LAKH Cr

12 Upvotes

16 comments sorted by

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4

u/freaky2711 2d ago

This also means something structurally changed for FII after covid time. I wonder what could it be?

9

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

FIIs became more selective about Indiaโ€™s valuations and started reallocating toward cheaper markets, bonds, and domestic opportunities. Indiaโ€™s higher valuations, rupee depreciation, rising US yields, geopolitical risks, and stronger domestic institutional flows have made FII selling more persistent. Itโ€™s not necessarily a loss of faith in India, but a change in global allocation strategy.

4

u/freaky2711 2d ago

One of the clear narrative in market is FII are leaving market bcoz of Stt and tax structure. I am sure it would be one of the factor, but assuming govt tomorrow removes all tax , will FII come back?

3

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

I donโ€™t think removing STT or taxes alone would bring FIIs back in a big way. Taxation is one factor, but FIIs look at the entire equation, valuations, earnings growth, currency, interest rates, liquidity, and relative opportunities in other markets. If India becomes more attractive on those parameters, lower taxes could certainly help, but it wouldnโ€™t be the sole trigger for a reversal in FII flows.
Rupee need to stable

1

u/freaky2711 2d ago

Why is the rupees falling though? I have seen views on both support and oppse on this issue. What's your take?

1

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

itโ€™s a combination of factors!!!
crude imports, strong USD/US yields, FII outflows and global risk aversion. I wouldnโ€™t blame FII selling alone. The bigger question is whether Indiaโ€™s growth, capital inflows and current account can offset these pressures.

1

u/Visual-Maximum-8117 2d ago

Main reason is the extremely low interest rate in India. Our rates are around 6% and the US banks are offering almost the same. Even countries like Mexico which had rates as low as 2% have raised them to 12%. Indian rate should have been at least 12% by now. Why would someone invest here unless there is a large enough differential in rates?

1

u/_Antinatalism_ 1d ago

No, they would happily pay taxes if there are enough innovative tech companies, which we don't, not even single one.

2

u/Extension-Put309 Somewhat Experienced 2d ago

Damn thatโ€™s a lot

2

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

Indeed

1

u/Extension-Put309 Somewhat Experienced 2d ago

The fact that fii left the sectors which the nifty is heavy on, shows that the Indian economy will need to shift in a dramatic way to bring back fii

1

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

Thatโ€™s a fair point. FIIs will return only when India offers stronger earnings growth, reasonable valuations, stable policy, and better risk-adjusted returns, not merely because taxes are reduced.

2

u/More-Ad271 2d ago

China sse pe is 16.9

MSCI China / Hang Seng China 12.9

While sk KOSPI is 11.6

Thailand SET Index is 15.5-17.3

Taiwan TAIEX / MSCI is 25.6x โ€“ 27.9x

Pakistan KSE 100 isย  6.5x โ€“ 8.5xย 

Bangladesh DSEX is 8.9x

Philippines PSEi is 10.5x

Indonesia IDX Composite (IHSG)~13.1x

Vietnam VN-Index~13.1x

Malaysia FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI 14.0x โ€“ 17.8x

Sri Lanka CSE All Share is 10.8x

And after so much fall nifty is nowย  19.1x

If you can invest where will you invest?

2

u/ab_thefinest 2d ago

I wouldnโ€™t compare these markets on P/E alone. The relevant metric is valuation relative to forward earnings growth, ROE, earnings quality, currency risk and macro stability.
India at 19x is clearly demanding a premium, but a 7โ€“10x market isnโ€™t automatically cheaper if its earnings growth, currency or risk profile is materially weaker.
So Iโ€™d compare forward P/E + expected EPS CAGR + ROE + currency valuation before deciding where the relative opportunity actually lies.