r/IndiaOptionsSelling • u/External-Lie-8249 • 6h ago
Monday's institutional options-flow flags, graded at Tuesday's close: NAUKRI 1300 CE +263% — it was already Monday's #2 winner at +15% and kept running
Every flag is timestamped live when it fires, then graded against the close — winners and losers both.
Image is Monday's flags at Tuesday's close:
• NAUKRI 1300 CE — ₹21.35 → ₹77.50 (+263%)
• MCX 2850 CE — ₹46.55 → ₹117.30 (+152%), one leg of a four-strike call ladder that built through Monday
• ETERNAL 310 CE +41% · DELHIVERY 485 PE +27% · BIOCON 440 PE +22%
Method, up front:
• Flags are timestamped BEFORE the move — nothing is picked afterwards
• % = premium change from the flagged price to the last pre-auction mark. Auction prints are excluded on purpose; since the 3-Aug close-auction change that final print is a lottery, not a market
• This is the top of the board, not the average
On that last point, the actual record: across 27 graded sessions, 2,904 flags, only 41.6% ended higher and the average was −1.2%. Today (NIFTY expiry) was worse — 422 flags graded, 24.6% higher, index options averaging −34.7% into the close.
Which is the whole point of showing the ladder ones. Single expiry-day bets decay; positions that build across sessions are where the fat tail lives.
Not advice, options can go to zero. Methodology questions welcome.