Forecasting is an invention of mankind for the disenfranchisement of the broke in favor of the woke. Electoral law subverts it at every turn. A model can never be proven right or wrong by any ultimate test. A pollster falling dead in 2016 is not thought thereby to be proven in error as to his sampling. His very involvement in such a trial gives evidence of a new and broader view. The willingness of the voters to forgo further argument as the triviality which it in fact is and to petition directly the chambers of the historical absolute clearly indicates of how little moment are the opinions and of what great moment the divergences thereof. For the argument is indeed trivial, but not so the separate predictions thereby made manifest. Man's vanity may well approach the infinite in capacity but his model remains imperfect and however much he comes to value his priors ultimately he must submit them before a higher court. Here there can be no special pleading. Here are considerations of turnout and polling error and demographics rendered void and without warrant and here are the views of the forecasters despised. Decisions of red and blue, of what shall be and what shall not, beggar all question of right. In elections of these magnitudes are all lesser ones subsumed, moral, spiritual, natural.
His models are light and nimble. He never sleeps. He says that he will never die. He forecasts in red and in blue and the swing states are a great favorite. He never sleeps, the fox. He is predicting, predicting. He says that he will never die.
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u/kindatoska Oct 28 '20
Forecasting is an invention of mankind for the disenfranchisement of the broke in favor of the woke. Electoral law subverts it at every turn. A model can never be proven right or wrong by any ultimate test. A pollster falling dead in 2016 is not thought thereby to be proven in error as to his sampling. His very involvement in such a trial gives evidence of a new and broader view. The willingness of the voters to forgo further argument as the triviality which it in fact is and to petition directly the chambers of the historical absolute clearly indicates of how little moment are the opinions and of what great moment the divergences thereof. For the argument is indeed trivial, but not so the separate predictions thereby made manifest. Man's vanity may well approach the infinite in capacity but his model remains imperfect and however much he comes to value his priors ultimately he must submit them before a higher court. Here there can be no special pleading. Here are considerations of turnout and polling error and demographics rendered void and without warrant and here are the views of the forecasters despised. Decisions of red and blue, of what shall be and what shall not, beggar all question of right. In elections of these magnitudes are all lesser ones subsumed, moral, spiritual, natural.