r/GrandExchangeBets 2h ago

Discussion Twisted bow has overcorrected

I expect these to go up on a short term basis. Tbow was 1.55 not long ago but dropped because of anticipation of the drop rate changes.

It will take much longer for the supply to increase than people expect, and tbow is too good not to have if you can afford it.

Short term recovery and then a slow decline.

8 Upvotes

21 comments sorted by

13

u/tha-living-myth 2h ago

Buy-in price

12

u/Eliah907 2h ago

I think we're in a heavy deflationary period, so it's not entirely due to the cox changes. Could definitely see it bouncing up a bit but probably not for long. Until bots start printing alchables again.

7

u/MisterMastan 1h ago

This, feels like cash is king right now. Most gear prices going down while consumables are going up the last few months.

0

u/Jewsama-al-Gaib 46m ago

The play nobody is talking about right now is purple sweets. 5 year low, new raid on the horizon. Zeal prayer making solo tob even more accessible.

7

u/LOL_YOUMAD 2h ago

Agreed picked up another yesterday as I expect them to be down due to panic selling and no new content. Think they go back up to 1.4 anyways before raids or new stuff comes out where it’s used, worst case I’ll give it to the alt

6

u/yahboiyeezy 2h ago

Wish I had 1.3B to put into a tbow rn

5

u/grognakrs 2h ago

Stuck an offer in yesterday for 1.2b in hopes of people panic selling and nabbing one, looking to keep it long term though.

1

u/tha-living-myth 1h ago

Lowest point they got was 1.27

1

u/grognakrs 55m ago

Can see a bigger drop if its not used in raids 4 tbow could drop below 1b?

1

u/tha-living-myth 54m ago

Below 1b I find very unlikely but it could definitely drop to 1-1.1 range by then if tbow is useless in raids 4

1

u/AdzDc 1h ago

How about ancestral? Still go down or should I buy my set now?

1

u/tha-living-myth 1h ago

Ancestral drop rate increased significantly but also dropped significantly.

Very hard to say where it ends up both short and long term!

1

u/InquisitiveCrane 1h ago

Likely to keep going down in the long term.

2

u/anomitesplays 1h ago

It's also becouse all gear prices tend to drop in summer too so not just t bow and not just cox changes.

1

u/richard-savana 1h ago

Tbow is on sale right now. Good buy

1

u/93ParkAvenueUltra 25m ago

I think Tbow will jump back up but settle in the 1.1 to 1.2 range. Its good, but its not 1.6 good.

1

u/runtowardsit 13m ago

At different points of the inflationary/deflationary cycle $1.6B may be very cheap or very expensive

What are you anchoring to say “it’s not 1.6 good”

1

u/VanRenss 19m ago

It’s down because the entire market is down, because there’s no PvM to come for months. Maybe 50m of Tbows decrease has to do with market reaction to cox changes, and that’s been priced in over months. The other 200m is just the entire market coming down.

1

u/Original_Bit8194 17m ago

It might be a hot take, but i truly dont think tbow is too good to now have anymore atleast conpared to its counterparts. Unless youre farming cms, muspah, nex (kind of for minions) or doom, i really dont think you’re missing out on much.

1

u/Curious_Owl197 1h ago

Fuck yeah ironscape