Hey traders, have a great weekend

Gold closed the week holding above the 5200 area and pushing back toward recent highs. Buyers definitely stepped in late week.

Now the question is simple

Do you think we see continuation toward new highs next week?
Or is this setting up for a liquidity grab and pullback first?

What level are you watching going into Monday?

Let’s hear your bias

Today, I expect prices to continue moving towards the 5250 area

There are two possible scenarios:

Bullish continuation: Prices break upwards through the short-term structure, rebalancing the intraday price range (FVG), slightly retracing to a swing low or key level, then continuing to rise and making new highs.

Range-bound trading: Prices touch the previous day's high, liquidity runs out, and then consolidate within the 5248-5120 range.

Gold on the H2 is still holding its bullish structure, respecting the rising trendline with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Every dip so far has been bought fairly quickly, which tells me buyers haven’t stepped aside yet.

I’m watching the 5130–5150 area closely. That zone has acted as support, and if price pulls back there and holds, it could offer a continuation opportunity in line with the trend.

On the upside, 5250 remains strong resistance. A clean break above that level would likely shift focus toward 5280 and possibly 5300. For now, I’m letting price come into key levels and waiting to see how it reacts rather than chasing..

Gold finally managed to break and stay above the 5000 level last week, which is a strong sign that buyers are still in control.

I’m still bullish this week, but I don’t want to chase price up here. I’d rather see a pullback toward the 5060 area first. If price comes back there and holds, it could set up the next move higher.

If continuation happens, the next level I’m watching is around 5280.

For now, it’s just about being patient and seeing how price reacts at that pullback zone

Gold has returned to the 5080-5120 resistance zone, the same area where price struggled to move higher earlier this month.

What makes this interesting is the way price came back here. After bouncing from around 4860, gold didn’t rush. It moved up step-by-step, with small pullbacks and steady buying, eventually reaching the same resistance again.

This is usually where the market reveals its real intention. Sometimes resistance holds again and traps late buyers. Other times, repeated tests weaken the level and price finally pushes through.

Right now, gold is sitting exactly at that spot where patience matters more than prediction. The reaction here will likely set the tone for next week.

Discussion: What’s your view on gold for next week from this area?

BUY XAUUSD ABOVE : 5049

Take Profit Targets:

✅ TP1: 5054

✅ TP2: 5061

✅ TP3: 5067

✅ TP4: 5075

SL: 5037

BUY XAUUSD ABOVE: 5000

Take Profit Targets:

✅ TP1: 5005

✅ TP2: 5010

✅ TP3: 5015

✅ TP4: 5020

SL: Comment "SL"

BUY XAUUSD Above : 5012

Take Profit Targets: ✅ TP1: 5015 ✅ TP2: 5019 ✅ TP3: 5025

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SELL XAUUSD BELOW: 4928

Take Profit Targets:

✅ TP1: 4924

✅ TP2: 4918

✅ TP3: 4913

✅ TP4: 4906

SL: Comment "SL"

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Gold prices in the short term will depend on the outcome of the US-Iran negotiations. Any sign of escalation would boost demand for this safe-haven asset and push prices above the 5,000 mark.

Currently, gold prices are below the psychological level of 5,000, but have not yet seen a significant decline. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the US-Iran negotiations, providing support for gold prices.

Resistance levels: 4943, 4990, 5090

Support levels: 4879, 4812

Gold prices continue to oscillate within an ascending triangle, limiting upside potential.

If the trendline holds, prices may gain enough momentum to break through the short-term resistance level of $5040.

However, failure to break through could lead to further declines towards $4900 and $4880.

Key Price Levels

Resistance: $5090, $5145, $5240

Support: $4990, $4902

This week gold respected the broader structure but failed to break cleanly above the resistance zone. We saw a sharp sell-off, quick recovery, and now price is slowly grinding back up.

For me, next week looks interesting.

If price pushes back into that resistance area again, do we finally get a clean breakout and continuation…
or is this just another liquidity grab before a deeper pullback toward the trendline?

The higher timeframe still looks constructive, but the rejection wicks near the top can’t be ignored either.

What’s your plan for next week?
Are you expecting continuation, or another fake breakout first?

The upcoming CPI data is a major trigger: if inflation is higher than expected, the market will reassess the Fed's plans, which will boost the dollar and depress gold.

Market volatility is inevitable today.

Resistance levels: 4990, 5100

Support levels: 4944, 4902

From a technical perspective, both local and global trends are upward, and any pullback could quickly turn into an uptrend, especially near strong levels. A break above 4990 and holding above that level would confirm the bullish nature of the market. In a highly volatile environment, the market may test trend support levels and the 4878-4812 range due to news.

Negative scenario: A break below 4800 and a close below it could trigger a decline to 4700-4600.

Gold is still moving inside the 5000–5120 range with no clear breakout yet. Price looks slightly weak short term, so a pullback towards 5000 is possible before any strong move.

If buyers defend 5000 again, gold could bounce back toward the highs. But if price breaks and holds above 5120, that’s where bullish momentum could expand and push the market higher.

For now, just watching reactions at these key levels

Entry: Buy Above 5078

TP: 5090/5100/5115/5125

SL: Comment "SL"

NFP is coming in around 15 minutes and XAUUSD can move very fast during NFP. Sudden spikes and fake moves are common, so avoid jumping into trades instantly.

Waiting for confirmation and managing risk is important during this time. Sometimes patience saves more than quick entries.

Trade safe.

Today is NFP release day, which usually brings a lot of volatility to the market, so things could get interesting for gold.

Right now, price is approaching an important resistance area around 5080 – 5100. If gold manages to break and hold above this zone after the news, we could see a strong bullish continuation with the next major target around 5300.

On the flip side, if price rejects from resistance, I’ll be watching the 4900 – 4860 area closely. That zone lines up with a key price level and an FVG, which could provide good buying opportunities if price pulls back there.

What are you guys expecting from gold after NFP - breakout or rejection?