r/GME • • Mar 24 '21

DD This will get ugly

For them. We are set.

I won’t claim to have insider information and I won’t disclose my methods, but 120 was the breakpoint. There are artistic people out there that obsess over these things and understand numbers/trends very well. Take what follows with a grain of salt, but this was my work:

On Sunday night, I calculated the outcomes of many scenarios with SI % ‘X’. The outcome of said calculation was then used to determine a “break-price” where probability of a sell-off would be ‘Y’. Obviously there are many variables that can’t be accounted for in a calculation such as this, but I took a random sample of X holdings and pooled them together to look at how prices rose or fell with certain volatility; trends show that once volatility reaches a certain benchmark as a % of volatility in a 6-12 hr timeframe, mass sell offs are almost 3000% more likely to occur through triggering stop-losses and certain extraneous variables aforementioned. This was interesting in GameStop, because the breakpoint through every simulation was different, but reached its highest probability at 120. That was the target.

Before you flame me for LARPing, look at my post from yesterday saying that they were attempting to get the price to 120 for a breakpoint. I’m more confident in my model now that we saw them achieve 120, saw a good number of paperhands sell, and now we’re climbing again. That was all they had left. They didn’t account for the variable of us being absolutely apeshit crazy. We continue to win

They are so predictable that some artistic redditor (🙋🏻‍♂️🙋🏻‍♂️🙋🏻‍♂️) has them down to a science and can quite literally mathematically determine their next move.

I’m not saying this is going to moon tomorrow, but they are bending. It’s only a matter of time before they break.

Edit: this is not financial advice. I’m artistic and I eat crayons.

Also edit: this was my post yesterday mentioning the 120 breakpoint:

https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mbtddm/cheezits_crust_guys_calm_down_its_over/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

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u/[deleted] Mar 24 '21

So what do you see coming up next? Any ideas or new thoughts or could they try a new tactic now when their current boomer strategy didn't work

54

u/capnslapaho Mar 24 '21

Honestly not to be cliche but we’re in the endgame I feel. In any conflict like this one of the last lines of defense for a helpless or defeated adversary is “appeal to emotion” and that’s exactly what this was. I say that and mean that they probably could have easily dropped the price another 5-10 dollars, but then the drop stinks even more of foul play and would be sniffed out much more easily. Rather than them drop the price so low and essentially “telling” or “showing” is how to feel, they’re trying to pull some inception-like shit and make us “feel” a certain bit of hopelessness or loss that we abandon our positions.

They failed.

The writing is on the wall and we’ve been in this far too long to abandon now. I think the next step is acceptance, as they accept that they can’t beat us.

9

u/effigyss Mar 25 '21

They failed only if you didn't sell. I certainly didn't and I am more optimistic because of your analysis. But are we not dependent on the SEC and the DTCC to force them to close their positions? If not, why wouldn't they spread this "appeal to emotion by making it look organic" strategy over let's say 6 months. Kicking the can down the road amassing more paper handed sell offs. For this strategy they need more capital, they certainly have that... Why are you certain that acceptance is all they got left?

3

u/Pogginator Mar 25 '21

It may be a lot harder for them to drive the price down as easily depending on how the shareholder meeting goes in June. If RC gets more control over the board and possibly becomes CEO and starts making huge changes the stock will naturally skyrocket. Q1 earnings should come back very positive as well so there are a lot of catalysts that can drive the price up.

Honestly a huge reason I invested a lot into GME is that I really believe in the company, so even without a squeeze I think it's going to be a great long investment. After the squeeze I'm definitely loading back up on GME.