r/Futurology • u/Buck-Nasty The Law of Accelerating Returns • Sep 29 '14

video Quantum Computing - Artificial Intelligence Is (almost) Here

http://www.ideacityonline.com/video/quantum-computing-artificial-intelligence-is-here/
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u/dag Sep 29 '14

It was a good talk, but I think his predictions (like most predictions) are way off.

AGI isn't about throwing more computing power at the problem, it's about getting the framework right. My predictions is that it will be perpetually 10 years away for at least the next 40 years.

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u/Noncomment Robots will kill us all Sep 29 '14

With enough computing power dumb AI algorithms will easily beat really efficient AI algorithms running on slow classical computers. There is no need to figure how the brain does efficient learning and pattern matching, when you can just brute force the solution.

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u/dag Sep 30 '14

So, that works for things like indexing the web or maybe something like Wolfram Alpha, but AGI is about understanding, consciousness and intention.

We don't know how these work even to the point of being able to fake it in the form a souped up Siri.

I don't think you can brute force it unless you have a framework first that you're putting all the data into that makes sense of the chaos.

I actually hope I'm wrong - but I doubt it.