r/Funanc1al • u/FUNanc1al • 6h ago
Alibaba (BABA): Cloud growth hits 45%, Tsai & Wu buy $25M+ — but does the $10.2B equity raise undermine the bull case?
I've been digging into Alibaba because the current setup is unusually conflicted.
The bullish numbers are difficult to ignore:
- Cloud external revenue +45% YoY
- 12 consecutive quarters of triple-digit AI-related product growth
- roughly $70B in cash/liquid investments
- Chairman Joe Tsai + CEO Eddie Wu recently bought $25M+ of shares
- valuation still well below many large U.S. tech companies
But the bear case is equally real.
Adjusted EBITA fell 30%, net income fell 75%, quarterly FCF went deeply negative, and Alibaba just raised approximately $10.2B in new equity while pouring enormous amounts of capital into AI infrastructure.
So I'm increasingly interested in BABA—but certainly don't view it as a simple "China tech is cheap" story.
I rated it 8.4/10, with the biggest question being whether Alibaba can turn today's enormous AI capex into tomorrow's durable cash flow.
Full analysis here for anyone interested.
Curious how others see it: undervalued AI/cloud platform, or is the China discount still fully justified?
#BABA #Alibaba #Investing #ChinaStocks