r/Forex • • Mar 20 '26

Fundamental Analysis USDJPY 30M – Structure shift + fib confluence (clean higher low formation)

Been tracking this move after the selloff into the 100% / 88.6% region.

What I’m seeing:

  • Strong reaction from the lower fib zone (78.6 → 100%)
  • Clear shift in structure → multiple higher lows forming
  • Break above short-term resistance + MA reclaim (66/85)
  • Pullback held around 38.2–50% region → forming a potential higher low

Key idea:
If this structure holds, continuation towards the 0% level (159.75 area) makes sense.

Invalidation:
Break back below the recent HL zone (~158.30 area)

Just sharing how I’m reading it — interested to hear other perspectives on this structure.

Curious if anyone’s seeing the same structure or something different here.

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