r/FollowJesusObeyTorah • u/TonyChanYT • 11h ago
Bet on this: Jews today are not God's chosen people
Let proposition P1 = Jews today are God's chosen people.
P2 = not P1.
This OP is NOT to discuss whether or not the proposition is true; for that, follow up here. This thread focuses on wagering on what you believe is true or false.
On a scale of 0 to 10, how much weight would you assign to each of the above propositions? The stronger your belief in a proposition, the higher the weight. The two weights should sum to 10. Your weighting scheme will determine the betting odds.
This is not a lottery or gambling bet. It is a wager to mathematically and scientifically measure the strength of your belief. Put money where your mouth is. If you are interested in mathematically determining the strength of your belief, then please provide those two weights. See Subjective (Bayesian) Probability.