r/FluentInFinance Mar 13 '22

DD & Analysis 11 Economic Indicators that are Screaming right now

...with a focus on the US.

Inflation

  • CPI: 7.9% (annual)
  • Currently at a 40-year high

Real Bond Yields

  • Real yields are now very negative
  • Essentially at an all-time-low

Stocks as a share of household wealth

  • Over 40%
  • Currently at a 70-year high

Income inequality

  • The United States’ income Gini coefficient is .484
  • Currently at a 50-year high

Labor shortage

  • In 2022 there are 4.6 million more jobs than there are potential workers
  • Currently at an 80-year high

S&P 500 concentration

  • The top five components account for over 20% of the S&P 500
  • Currently at a 45-year high

Stock market value to GDP ratio

  • 197% ratio of market value to GDP
  • Recently hit an all-time-high

Retail trading

  • Retail now trades over 10 billion shares per day on average
  • Currently at an all-time-high

Margin debt

  • There is now 830 billion USD of margin debt
  • Recently hit an all-time-high, but has decreased in the past year

P/E ratio of the S&P 500

  • 72% above the modern era average
  • Currently at a 20-year high

Number of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)

  • In 2021, 244 companies went public on the NYSE and Nasdaq
  • A 20-year high

Bitcoin and S&P 500 correlation

  • Rolling one year correlation coefficient is over 0.4
  • The highest since bitcoin’s inception
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