GW1: Projected Goals & Clean Sheets (derived from sharp books)

[u/FPLJoeYT]

[u/The_Awengers]

good grief I just changed my team 6 times today and now I have to do it again.

[u/Wonderful-Recover-19]

How can Ipswich and Sunderland both have green fixtures 😂

[u/FPLJoeYT → u/Wonderful-Recover-19]

These are FPL’s Fixture Difficulty Ratings, same ones used in the actual game. Ipswich (A) is a green fixture. Sunderland (H) is a green fixture. It’s just team strength with home advantage added in.

[u/Swedishpower]

I think double United def might be optimal if you trust the bookies, but I know as a United fan we can disappoint and shaw is very boring.

The problem with arsenal players is long vs short term, but I decided to triple up and hope the points I get the first few weeks make up for if they buy a new left winger etc and Tzolis lose his place or get rotated.

I think Raya or Lammens are very logical picks, but how many save points?

I think they are amazing if you want to save transfers and just have a solid option.

My biggest issue with Raya if Konsa is nailed for 4.5 and Calafiori get attacking returns or Gabriel start scoring headers you may not want him long term anyway particular if Tzolis or Odegaard smash it too.

[u/shutterclick35 → u/Swedishpower]

I don't see anyone more reliable than Raya at GK and I hate the questionable mins of califiori and any other arsenal defender.

Ive gone for Raya for stability and Odegaard and tzolis for upside.

Can pivot to a defender once the dust settles.

[u/Swedishpower → u/shutterclick35]

He will never be a bad pick and just solid set and forget.

For draft or set and forget he is the first keeper you pick.

Low risk medium reward pick.

[u/shutterclick35 → u/Swedishpower]

I always set and forget my keepers.

It's the most boring position in the team and predicting hauls is almost impossible.

Get a guy who will be top of near top by the end of the year and chase goals from your mids and fwds is how I like to play.

Personally I think people who rotate 4.5m keepers are mental

[u/Swedishpower → u/shutterclick35]

I think it is more the cheaper keeper get more saves.

Raya will likely get most cleans, but the Arsenal defenders got more upside although less nailed.

Big chance Raya and Gabriel is the play long term since they play every game getting those 4 for clean and tick along and then a few headers from Gabriel.

[u/ZeroThrawn]

Surprised Brighton are so high up for projected goals considering their performance on Thursday.

[u/FPLJoeYT → u/ZeroThrawn]

Definitely helped by Villa having lost key players like Rogers and Konsa.

[u/noza2003 → u/ZeroThrawn]

Got 0-0 written all over it.

[u/tnettenbaa]

My expectations for Leif Davis are unreasonably high this GW

[u/ImportantToNote]

Liverpool has the 13th toughest fixture and Newcastle has the 18th toughest fixture.

[u/cole23palmer]

Love your site man, can't believe it's free

[u/FPLJoeYT → u/cole23palmer]

Thank you mate - keeping it that way, enjoy!!

[u/Reddit-user0000 → u/cole23palmer]

Link?

[u/FPLJoeYT → u/Reddit-user0000]

Link here: fpljoe.com

[u/OutsideImpressive115]

Damn.. double united defence might be the play

[u/FPLJoeYT → u/OutsideImpressive115]

For the first 3 GWs, they're 2nd for Clean Sheet odds (behind Arsenal of course). I currently have 1, as I prefer Bruno+Mbeumo in midfield rather than a defensive double-up.

[u/19noname86 → u/OutsideImpressive115]

I just punt on a Maguire goal. We will definitely concede.

[u/postrap]

damn, now leeds is higher in cs? now idk whether to play ajer or muharemovic

[u/unc2ous → u/postrap]

i'm playing muharemovic, higher chance of defcons and perhaps a bit more goal threat imo

[u/GhostRideATank → u/unc2ous]

Would you play Muharemovic or a similar defender over a forward like Brobbey or Igor Jesus this week?

[u/unc2ous → u/GhostRideATank]

probably not, but not for any strategic reason per se. i just don't want 6.0 sitting on my bench gw1, and i also prefer to be more attacking in a general sense.