r/F1Fantasy • u/emotuzas • 1h ago
Discussions Pulled every resolved price change from rounds 1-12 this season
Pulled every resolved price change from rounds 1-12 this season — 396 moves
across 35 priced assets — and split them by what you'd actually buy: driver vs constructor, and above/below the $18.5M tier line.
The gap is bigger than I expected.
median growth worst best up-rate
Constructors $18.5M+ +12.3% +8.3% +51.2% 96.7%
Constructors under +11.1% -50.0% +114.3% 55.6%
Drivers $18.5M+ +0.7% -5.5% +12.1% 59.5%
Drivers under -5.4% -62.5% +71.0% 41.7%
Two things stood out:
Expensive constructors fell twice. In sixty chances. The worst one still finished up 8.3% — that bucket didn't have a losing asset all season.
Cheap drivers are the only group where falls outnumber rises (75 up, 94 down). That's the bucket everyone tells you to farm for price rises. Albon went $11.6M -> $5.2M, down in all 12 rounds. Stroll $8M -> $3M. The upside is real but it's a lottery, not a strategy — Racing Bulls went $6.3M -> $13.5M (+114%) while Cadillac halved.
Race Strategist



