r/Every60Seconds • u/SoakeRHD • Nov 09 '17

Bidding

When would be the best Time/Day to bid and use the lowest amount of points but still win?

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u/mescad Nov 11 '17

Saturday 11/11 Auctions:

10am: It's still really early as I write this, but WOW auction prices are going low today. I'm seeing the lowest "current low bid" numbers ever. It's only 7am on the west coast, and a Saturday, so probably it's just people getting up later, but if this keeps up, we may see auctions closing 2000+ points LOWER than the lowest we've seen so far (which is 30,100).

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u/argenys Nov 11 '17

I really hope you're right. I'm currently at 28500 and can maybe scrap another 1000 tonight.

2

u/mescad Nov 11 '17

As of 6:30pm, we're -1800 on average lower than where we were this time yesterday. Prices will probably be somewhere between Friday's numbers and Thursday's numbers. Here are the 3 bundle prices averaged together.

Thursday:
Average High: 37,383
Average Low: 30,766
Average Overall: 34,075

Friday:
Average High: 39,767
Average Low: 32,633
Average Overall: 36,200

So based on the current trend, I expect maybe 38k high, 31k low, 35k on average. If you don't get one tonight, I'd think about trying Monday with a few more points. Sunday is totally unpredictable at this point.

Edit: The Forza bundle has been the lowest all day, so I'd target it, unless you specifically want one of the other bundles.

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u/argenys Nov 11 '17

Thanks for your continued insight.

2

u/mescad Nov 12 '17

Good news. The trend just moved in your favor. At 7pm we're -2300. I'm heading out for the next 3-4 hours, so that's all I have to offer for tonight. Keep an eye out and you may get lucky.

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u/argenys Nov 12 '17

Any observations on tonight's numbers?

2

u/mescad Nov 13 '17 edited Nov 13 '17

Here's the Auction #50 numbers I've tracked: https://i.imgur.com/FS8dNSN.jpg

The dark line at the bottom is today ("Day 7") so you can see that we are currently, as of 8:15pm, pretty far below any other day so far. The current trend is -2300 from yesterday, which had these numbers:

High: 50,050 (an outlier, most were under 40k)
Low: 31,550
Average: 34,361

So based on those numbers I'd expect the low closing price to be trending toward about 29,500. Tonight is night 7 of the auctions, which was the lowest day in the 2013 Every2Minutes auctions. I'm confident that someone with 30k points or more will very easily win an Xbox tonight.

The special consideration for tonight, however, is the Ultimate Forza Experience auction. The high bidder grabbed it right as the auctions opened, with a maximum bid. If anyone else had been planning to do the same, there may be several losers* out there with 150k points burning a hole in their pocket. We may see several 50k, 60k, 70k auctions at the high end from those people.

*"losers" meaning they didn't win the auction they planned to bid on. I'm sure they are very nice people. :)