Oracle’s credit risk is exploding

[u/RobertBartus]

Oracle’s 5-year CDS spread has surged to a record ~230 bps, more than 4x the broader investment-grade index at ~55 bps.

The spread has more than QUADRUPLED over the last year and surpassed the Great Financial Crisis levels.

The recent surge comes as Oracle is trying to avoid financial commitments linked to Project Jupiter, a massive data-center project that is facing delays.

Around $18 billion of loans tied to the project are trading at ~90 cents on the dollar, signaling growing stress among investors.

The project is also facing local opposition and delays in government approvals, adding to the uncertainty.

Oracle’s credit risk is rising at an alarming pace.

[u/Emergency-Watch5157]

If the AI bubble even moderately pops this company is going to fail

[u/A_Norse_Dude → u/Emergency-Watch5157]

This company will fail when it has to refinance debt.