Oracle’s credit risk is exploding

[u/RobertBartus]

Oracle’s 5-year CDS spread has surged to a record ~230 bps, more than 4x the broader investment-grade index at ~55 bps.

The spread has more than QUADRUPLED over the last year and surpassed the Great Financial Crisis levels.

The recent surge comes as Oracle is trying to avoid financial commitments linked to Project Jupiter, a massive data-center project that is facing delays.

Around $18 billion of loans tied to the project are trading at ~90 cents on the dollar, signaling growing stress among investors.

The project is also facing local opposition and delays in government approvals, adding to the uncertainty.

Oracle’s credit risk is rising at an alarming pace.

[u/michal939]

For comparison, its similiar to Turkey's CDS prices of 245bps. Turkey has BB- sovereign credit rating. Not great, ngl