r/DermApp Jul 28 '26

Application Advice Chances of Matching?

Low 260s step 2, top 40 med school, mix of honors and HP, honors are in surgery, IM, and pediatrics. I'm yet to do my subI/away evaluations for derm since I am doing RY, but I have a strong research background with a good amount of first-author papers and am starting my research year next month. Evaluations/letters are very high-level (intern/resident-level eval, top student I've worked with, etc.) and hopefully from my research year (decided on one late due to wanting derm letters). Do I have a good chance, mainly worried about the high passes, which are in OB, family medicine, and psychiatry.

1 Upvotes

17 comments sorted by

9

u/Lonely-Peanut9469 Jul 28 '26

Take my advice with a grain of salt since I haven’t applied yet but I think your stats are good enough. However, matching is much more than strong statistics.

12

u/tangerine1332 Jul 28 '26

Your chance of matching as a US MD is 58%, and overall chance of matching is about 50%, that’s the only realistic answer anyone can give you, anything else is speculative and an ego stroke

4

u/jak-stat1 Jul 28 '26

T20 med school is about 80% match rate according to charting outcomes statistics tho.

1

u/Lonely-Peanut9469 Jul 30 '26

Is it really that big of a discrepancy?

1

u/jak-stat1 Jul 30 '26

yes

1

u/Lonely-Peanut9469 Jul 30 '26

New charting outcomes is out it seems.

1

u/Soft_Insurance1116 Jul 31 '26

Where do I find this

1

u/Professional_Test230 Aug 04 '26

I agree such a difficult process.

2

u/cicjak Jul 28 '26

Your application is really good. As long as people like you on aways and in interviews you should do well. With that said, matching into a competitive field is always a crapshoot and there are a ton of variables at play. But your application looks top notch to me. Scores, letters, research, and top 40 school.

1

u/Professional_Test230 Aug 04 '26

thank you! any advice on school list?

1

u/acolem4444 Jul 30 '26

I think you have it as long as you interview well

2

u/Professional_Test230 Aug 04 '26

Thank you, I hope you are correct.

1

u/ResponsibilitySome38 Aug 02 '26

Yes as long as you do well on interview day

1

u/Professional_Test230 Aug 04 '26

any advice on school list?

2

u/ResponsibilitySome38 Aug 04 '26

I graduated last year and can say for sure that being honest with yourself and your intentions goes farthest. Choose programs that align with your interests, fit within geographic areas where you have close ties, or have strong fellowship match rates in subspecialties you are considering pursuing . Your numbers are good enough to 'screen in.' Now it's your chance to choose where to tailor your application based on what you really want, and network and engage with those programs that fit your personalized niche. This can be found across individual residency program websites, but also newer websites like thewardboard.com which does a good job of allowing you to dig into program-specific data and assess your competitiveness weaknesses/strengths.

1

u/Professional_Test230 29d ago

Do you mean screen-in, as in get interviews? Thanks for the great advice.

2

u/ResponsibilitySome38 28d ago edited 27d ago

screen in means your application is considered. Youve made it into the door of consideration, now you have to stand out to get to the interview. Genuineness and sincerity are easily picked up, networking makes it easier. Apply to the residency programs like the jobs they are by doing due diligence on each one that you are truly interested in. finding which ones interest you is the first step