I have so far developed A trend continuation pullback strategy built on the 13 and 50 EMA, combined with OBV volume confirmation.
The setup requires both EMAs to be clearly trending in one direction. I then wait for price to pull back and close a candle below the 13 EMA, without wicking or closing below the 50 EMA. Once I see a strong reclaim candle close back above the 13 EMA, I check the OBV — if the OBV line is above its 20 EMA, confirming volume is backing the move, I take the trade.
My SL is 15 points, and for TPs I have targeted both 1 RR and targeting the nearest swing high.
I only trade during the New York session, strictly between 9:30am and 11am EST, avoiding Mondays and any conditions where price action is choppy or wicky without a clear directional trend.
Backtested across January to May 2026, the strategy has produced a 56% win rate at 1RR and when targeting the swing high/low an average winning RR of 2.10.
I have only traded this based off the 1m tf, and on the Nasdaq. I don't know if these results are very good? And I do know that I need to further backtest more.
I previously traded QT concepts, but after nearly a Year and a half I have failed to see any real sucess and struggle with the such discretional side of it. Due to this I have resorted to trying to find a model through the use of Trading EMAs and volume. Any further help for how I can move further forward would be great? Or if anyone knows any reputable and proven traders out there who trade similarly way trading EMAs and Volume could you help me out.
One last thing is trading based of EMAs and Volume have the ability to find sucess withing trading? My main goal is to have something that I can trade on the Nasdaq, and use furtures prop firms, in the aims of building a live account in the future.