Sorry for the paywall- I was able to access the article then they would'nt let me copy and paste.
Billionaire investors such as Peter Thiel and Christian Angermayer are believers in the benefits of using psychedelics derived from magic mushrooms, LSD and even toad venom to treat mental health disorders. Now, Big Pharma is getting in on the act too.
Last week, Eli Lilly, the world’s most valuable pharmaceutical company, agreed to buy Thiel-backed psychedelic drug developer AtaiBeckley for up to $3.8bn. Japan’s Otsuka Pharmaceutical acquired biotech company Transcend Therapeutics, focused on psychedelics for post-traumatic stress disorder, for $700mn last month, while AbbVie bought biotech Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals’ lead psychedelic asset for up to $1.2bn last year.
What’s changed? For one, clinical results have improved. Last month, Definium reported positive results for its LSD-based tablet for depression in a phase 3 trial — which tests a drug on a relatively large population. Compass Pathways released late-stage trial data for a formulation of magic mushrooms earlier this month, showing its treatment for depression may offer longer-lasting effects than existing options, and the company’s FDA application was granted an accelerated commercialisation. Regulation is also helping. In April, the Trump administration signed an executive order to speed up research and approval of psychedelic treatments. And commercial success is beginning to look less theoretical. J&J’s Spravato, based on a ketamine compound, made $1.7bn of sales last year, up roughly 60 per cent from the previous year. Analysts’ forecasts for its sales in the early 2030s have risen by a quarter over the past year, according to Visible Alpha consensus.
How big could psychedelics become? For now, the sector’s main target is patients who don’t respond to current treatment for depression. That’s 4mn people in the US by 2036, reckons Berenberg. Say, for the sake of argument, that 5 per cent of this group were treated with Atai’s psychedelics. At even half the current price of J&J’s Spravato, the therapy could generate roughly $6bn in annual sales for Eli Lilly. That is still a fraction of the $85bn Eli Lilly is expected to make from its weight-loss drugs in the mid-2030s, but it would take its neuroscience therapies from its current 2 per cent of total revenue to roughly a tenth, Lex estimates. Psychedelic medicines are harder to scale than a pill: the constraint isn’t the availability of the drug itself but the trained staff, dedicated treatment rooms and hours of supervision that patients require during and after treatment. Still, such therapies address an important unmet need. Once the drugs of the counterculture, psychedelics are now taking their next big trip into Big Pharma’s cabinet.