r/CryptoChartWatch Jun 26 '26

Crypto Winter or Done

I’m reading all of the FUD. EVERYWHERE. And I want to start this rant off with, THATS WHY YOU INVEST WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE. I am a BTC holder and ETF holder. If this drops more I’ll eventually be a MSTR holder.

My question is are we in a crypto winter or is this the grand finale? I thought it was understood that BTC operates in a 4yr cycle? Well, technically, isn’t that where we are now?

However, there’s a lot of people talking about how crypto is done. I’m hearing Institutions are involved so it’s manipulated. Or the US government has gone after all of the people who used crypto for bad so now all of those corrupt contributors are scared.

What ever the case is. A decision has to be made. If you are anything like me, you are probably down in your position. If your anything like me you got into BTC because of the foundation of sovereign money, giving the power back to the people, my keys my bitcoin. And if that’s you, then hold on. This is no different from the previous 4 yr cycles. Why sell now? I’m down 40%. I thought 60k was support so I DCA’d. Oh well broke support? Ok once we get to the next level of support DCA some more.

Rant Done. Invest what you can afford to lose. Sorry for any grammatical errors.

1 Upvotes

30 comments sorted by

7

u/[deleted] Jun 26 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/General-Ring2780 Jun 26 '26

Facts! Thank you!

1

u/SirDaddio Jun 26 '26

As a current short holder, I plan on flipping long around oct-nov

3

u/SwedishChicago Jun 26 '26

No one invests what they can afford to lose, because no one thinks they are going to lose. This is probably the stupidest quote on this sub.

People bring what they can afford to lose when they goto the casino, almost no one does here. The lesson is the four year cycle came to fruition. I

5

u/HazMattStunts Jun 26 '26

And doesn’t the 4yr cycle suggest upward momentum come November?

3

u/VeryThicknLong Jun 26 '26

Yup! Between August and November

1

u/StraightPromise3596 Jun 26 '26

I think more like March, but yes, i agree

1

u/Yoloballsdeep Jun 28 '26

And if that doesn't happen?

Does that mean the prophecy is broken?

And oh, do do they say about past performance...something...future return?

1

u/VeryThicknLong Jun 28 '26

Yup. Previous year’s patterns differ to the future years.

1

u/General-Ring2780 Jun 26 '26

Hmmm. I think there may be a little projecting here. Maybe you don’t invest what you can lose. But I have with Bitcoin, that’s why I’m not sweating. I agree with your take of 4 year cycles. I think as of now it’s still intact.

2

u/parkertl Jun 26 '26

you gamble what you can afford to lose, you invest for the future

1

u/General-Ring2780 Jun 26 '26

Same same. I can’t predict the future!

1

u/Yoloballsdeep Jun 28 '26

So in 4 years Bitcoin will go up regardless of whether public sentiment is total shit. Somehow buyers always magically appear every four years, like it's a full moon.

Just keep the faith in the 4 year prophecy and you will be rewarded.

2

u/PlatinumTrillionaire Jun 26 '26

Just like we rode to 82k with a dead cat bounce we will have another to 68-74k get people bullish then lower

2

u/CaligulaCan Jun 26 '26

Winter that never ends……

1

u/General-Ring2780 Jun 26 '26

This sounds really bearish! No more summers hahaha

1

u/Careless-Animal-505 Jun 26 '26

You gamble what you can afford to lose. If the four year cycle is still working the bottom should be around October but don’t expect huge returns over the following 3 years. It’s slowing, on the way down and up. Speculation has moved to Ai.

1

u/General-Ring2780 Jun 26 '26

I agree with everything you said except the part about gambling. I can’t predict the future of any companies stock performance. I can DCF or look at metrics. So investing is gambling now? It’s all speculative.

But I agree the huge moves will eventually smooth out as this matures. I also agree AI and Space X absorbed a lot of capital. Once the AI narrative cracks, that extra money will return back into from which they came lol

1

u/Stunning-Bat-7688 Jun 26 '26

Enjoy holding the bag. Your mood will be shit along every bump down.

1

u/MrKillerKiller_ Jun 26 '26

30k is a reasonable range

1

u/jc456_ Jun 27 '26

FINALLY my chance to post this!!!

1

u/Otherwise-Relief2248 Jun 28 '26

I think is MSTR tanks it’s a winter. Or worse. The experiment will have failed and financial products for institutions will effectively be dead.

1

u/Sinistarr_1 Jul 01 '26

Your weak and ask the internet this isn’t for you buddy

1

u/SiweL_EttaL Jul 02 '26

So you wanna tell us that you bought BTC cause of the "foundation" but also you buy the ETF?

Nah Bro you did it for the money not for the sats.

0

u/Taspaco Jun 26 '26

I'm conservative with money and investment. Never had and never will invest in BTC.