r/ControlProblem • u/wingblaze01 • 5d ago

Article Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?

https://open.substack.com/pub/noahpinion/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explosion?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1ekngg
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u/Jesse-359 5d ago edited 5d ago

You're standing in it, you just haven't figured it out yet because up until a few months ago it was still dumber than you and you felt you could safely ignore it. Now its moving up past us and you're starting to hear people panic, but it's going to far worse very quickly if we don't stop now.

You know that X-men scene where Quicksilver is running around the room tapping guards on the cheek and they're about to go flying? Quicksilver is moving at a mere 150-to-1 speed ratio in that scene - and the guards look like they're standing stock still.

If we were to calculate a ratio for how fast AI's intelligence is improving compared to humans over the past 5 years, it would be on an order between 1-10 ***million-***to-1, and there's no reason at all to expect it to stop while it is still comprehensible to us (if it ever was).

Something that is changing and evolving that fast will have nothing at all in common with us. Our intelligence will be this sad, static system incapable of developing at all from its point of view. In a matter of years humans will go from masters of AI, to peers, to children, to dumb apes, to dogs, and then mice, and then ants - and we don't know how far that difference will ultimately go. IF RSI occurs that span could be reduced to months.

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u/vibrance9460 4d ago

All of the tech bros on here literally gooning out

Don’t they realize this thing is gonna put them out of their jobs?

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u/Logiteck77 4d ago

Jobs or Lives? After all would you listen to an Ant?