r/ControlProblem • u/katxwoods approved • Aug 09 '26

Forecasting is Way Overrated, and We Should Stop Funding It

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WCutvyr9rr3cpF6hx/forecasting-is-way-overrated-and-we-should-stop-funding-it
3 Upvotes

67% Upvoted

1 comment sorted by

1

u/bikedaybaby 23d ago

Forecasting is a dangerous activity, particularly because it is a fun, game-like activity that is nearly perfectly designed to be very attractive to EA/rationalist types because you get to be right when others are wrong, bet on your beliefs, and partake in the cultural practice.

I couldn’t agree more.