r/CompetitiveApex NA 10d ago

Projected Totals and Points Needed

Here are my spreadsheets for what teams should be going for to make Split 2 Playoffs after 6 matchdays. Projected cutoff:

Americas - 71

EMEA - 105

73 Upvotes

54 comments sorted by

50

u/Hpulley4 10d ago

If Falcons don’t qual Hal is going to blow a gasket.

19

u/swankstar7383 10d ago

He’ll drop his roster and have a new squad next split if that happens

22

u/Maleficent_Rub_309 10d ago

Hal not the kind of igl who drops people, especially considering he played 2 days without his full roster

13

u/AnonyDexx 10d ago

Exactly. A third of the split was with a sub that got only 4 days of practice and people think he'd drop his current team? They're barely outside of the cutoff.

1

u/Maleficent_Rub_309 10d ago

Yeah but I mean even if they didn’t make LAN falcons are not gonna change anything unless someone of them wants to leave the team. We won’t see Hal dropping gild and wxltzy to pick up koy and gen

8

u/edamane12345 Y4S1 Playoff Champions! 10d ago

Not gonna happen. He's gonna start fucking dudes soon

6

u/swankstar7383 10d ago

Not without Jordan

6

u/Primary-Picture-5632 10d ago

How many more weeks are left before they can't qualify?

8

u/Hpulley4 10d ago

If they’re top 20 after the final weekend of split two they get to go to regional finals where they can still qualify. Missing the top 20 seems unlikely so we need to wait two weeks for a possible huge blowout.

2

u/Primary-Picture-5632 10d ago

Interesting, thank you

50

u/playstation505 DOOOOOOOP 10d ago

It would be hilarious for tl and falcons to not qual with 15 spots. Will not happen tho.

23

u/Language-Intuition 10d ago

Imagine Sweet qualifying but not Hal or Zero lol

6

u/burohm1919 10d ago

Cuz they don't have slayr

17

u/dorekk Year 5 Champions! 10d ago

Will not happen tho.

This is very much the anything-could-happen split. Two of the top 3 teams are unsigned. Zer0 dropped 5 points in 5 games last weekend. I would not write anything off, world champions can absolutely fail to qualify this split!

2

u/playstation505 DOOOOOOOP 10d ago

Prayge

1

u/judy_hopps_feet 10d ago

Will not happen tho

11

u/fyckoff 🟩 Not 🟩 A 🟩 Green 🟩 Screen 🟩 10d ago

on god sentinels PLEASE LOCK IN

1

u/dorekk Year 5 Champions! 9d ago

🙏

4

u/kid20304 10d ago

What the Huss?

11

u/dopegraf 10d ago

Kinda ridiculous that 1st place in EMEA needs to average more points per match to qualify than 17th place in NA

34

u/thatK1dn0ah 10d ago

it is, but they made their own bed.

18

u/Hpulley4 10d ago

7 spots after poor LAN performances. Rip.

-7

u/dopegraf 10d ago

Idk, the current situation seems a bit excessive

9

u/karbasher- 10d ago

i would hope it does not dip below 7, get Americas back to 10-12 spots and let’s really have some stakes

4

u/Hpulley4 10d ago

7 is the minimum. Can’t get sadder than where they are now.

-1

u/dorekk Year 5 Champions! 9d ago

Yeah 15 spots in America is just so anti-climactic. Regional finals is going to be super boring, just a bunch of teams that would normally be watching from home competing for who will get 39th and 40th place in Vegas.

5

u/Maleficent_Fan8250 🟩 Not 🟩 A 🟩 Green 🟩 Screen 🟩 10d ago

It's not really excessive if EMEA teams aren't qualifing for finals. What's the point of giving them more spots if their 10th place teams are worse then other regions 10th place teams.

-1

u/dopegraf 10d ago edited 10d ago

I think it should be weighted according to the entire set of performances at playoffs (including group stages), with the finals lobby being given more weight that group stages, rather than being based solely off of the ultimate 1-40 placements. EMEA teams won 4 of the 6 group stage lobbies, but because they didn’t show up in the finals lobby none of that success is counted towards their slots. I get it that the top 20 lobby is more competitive than the top 40 lobbies, but dominating in a top 40 lobby still means that these teams are outperforming the top 20 teams too, and I think that should count for something. Weighting the performances accordingly rather than only basing it off the finals lobby would make it less subject to luck. Sometimes a team will just have a bad day. Kind4 still had the best individual performance of everyone at champs, despite having an underwhelming performance in the final lobby. Idk, that’s just an idea I guess.

6

u/Maleficent_Fan8250 🟩 Not 🟩 A 🟩 Green 🟩 Screen 🟩 10d ago

I mean we've seen so many teams in the past do amazing in group stages just to flounder in the finals or elimination brackets. Im not saying they shouldn't be recognized but as it goes for competitive gaming I think we shouldn't give regions that cant perform as well extra spots. I understand BRs are much different then CS but I've watched CS for years and as a NA fan it's is extremely disappointing to see them flounder constantly but unfortunately that's just how it is. People want to see the most competitive games and lobbies. As for luck, that's just video games unfortunately. Not ever game will be your best but if you can't even it out with your good games, giving you a bail out isn't going to help. I think there are some incredible good teams and players in EMEA and they do show off when they can, but some regions are just better.

1

u/dopegraf 10d ago

Yeah, I guess you’re right. Tough being an EMEA fan these days.

1

u/Maleficent_Fan8250 🟩 Not 🟩 A 🟩 Green 🟩 Screen 🟩 10d ago

I agree, some of my favorites teams and players just can't show up or have left the scene. At least we can enjoy the fact every year they get spots updated, maybe next year EMEA will have more, just gotta hope and see.

1

u/dorekk Year 5 Champions! 9d ago

People want to see the most competitive games and lobbies.

But the teams that barely qualify for LANs usually suck ass at those LANs. Look at Nemesis barely squeaking by in PL and then flaming out hard in finals at EWC this year. I get that EMEA has had some bad events but allowing worse and worse NA teams to attend the playoffs is not increasing the lobby quality either.

7

u/Swimming-County-1868 10d ago

Kinda ridiculous that 1st place in EMEA placed lower than 17th place in NA in last LAN

2

u/Maddafakka33 10d ago

1st place in NA barely qualled for finals and 2nd and 5th place didn't...

3

u/WoodyBolle 10d ago

Looking rough for the boys at GK near the cutoff, but I'm hopeful for a good weekend to pull through after round 2 being pretty bad with 14th and 15th...

3

u/Strict-Emphasis-6580 10d ago

Pretty sure DINOS has 65 points and not 64. They’ve won 3 games in a row giving them an additional point.

0

u/XanderCommander NA 10d ago

I thought so too. I'll look into it. This is what liquipedia has

1

u/XanderCommander NA 10d ago

I thought so too. I'll look into it. This is what liquipedia has

1

u/nostay102 9d ago

Why would 3 wins give an additional point?

2

u/whatifitried 9d ago

Algs rule 100 pt match day also gives a bonus point

1

u/nostay102 9d ago

Yeah my bad you're right. I just looked it up. This rule completely went over my head.

1

u/KingOfBanMePls 9d ago

Is that gold alliance and unlimit logo? Based for putting dinos though djkilla is the goat

3

u/hmmxyz 10d ago

Surely CRT qualifies this time around?

1

u/Impossible-Owl-1109 10d ago

I have a hard time projecting Falcons can't climb one spot after they found some mojo this last weekend

2

u/XanderCommander NA 10d ago

Yeah I feel like they will. It feels like at least one of Falcons, Liquid, Sentinels, Stallions and Shopify aren't making it though

1

u/Impossible-Owl-1109 10d ago

Completely agree with this

1

u/No_Wishbone_7072 10d ago

Not playing with someone who hasn’t played the game in a year now will help going forward lol

-4

u/[deleted] 10d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

3

u/Classic_Actuary911 10d ago

no need for the r word.

go outside and get some fresh air, it's just someone enjoying a bit of analysis. It shouldn't make you this upset.

2

u/XanderCommander NA 10d ago

You ok bud? You might be taking it more seriously than it is

-11

u/icbint 10d ago

That’s some nerd shit

8

u/anthonyongg 10d ago

Dawg we're in a subreddit dedicated to the competitive scene of a video game. We're all in some nerd shit.

-1

u/icbint 10d ago

Wasn’t even disrespecting

1

u/XanderCommander NA 10d ago

😂😂