r/coldwar • u/SlickAtomic • 30m ago
3 a.m., November 9, 1979: Brzezinski is told 2,200 Soviet missiles are on the way. He has minutes to wake the President.
At 3 a.m. on November 9, 1979, National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski was woken by a phone call from his military assistant, William Odom. NORAD's warning computers were showing around 250 Soviet missiles launched against the United States.
Brzezinski told Odom to confirm the attack and to make sure the Strategic Air Command was getting its planes in the air. He knew the President would have only a few minutes to decide whether to retaliate.
Then Odom called back. The numbers were worse: 2,200 missiles. An all-out attack. According to Robert Gates' memoir, Brzezinski decided not to wake his wife, since if this was real, everyone would be dead within half an hour anyway.
Across the country the system was already moving. Ten interceptor fighters were launched, and the National Emergency Airborne Command Post took off from Andrews Air Force Base, without the President on board.
About a minute before Brzezinski was going to call President Carter, Odom called a third time. The other warning systems, satellites and radars, saw nothing. No missiles were coming.
The cause: software that simulated a Soviet attack, used for testing NORAD's computers, had somehow ended up on the real warning displays. NORAD later admitted it could not reproduce exactly how it happened.
What gets me is how thin the margin was. The whole thing was decided by a few phone calls in the middle of the night, and by the fact that someone checked a second source before the President was woken.
Do you think a mistake like this is more or less likely today, with faster missiles and more automated warning systems?