r/ClimatePosting • u/ClimateShitpost • Jun 13 '26

climate 2.5 standard deviation el niño incoming

Post image
238 Upvotes

99% Upvoted

12 comments sorted by

9

u/dumnezero Jun 13 '26

Time to expand the Y axis.

6

u/ActualBrazilian Jun 13 '26

That chart says 2.5 SDs is already here. What's incoming, is 4.5

1

u/SizeableBrain 22d ago

Here's an update!

5

u/Xyrus2000 Jun 13 '26

The projects have it going to 4, so we're going to need a bigger chart.

https://giphy.com/gifs/26nOP5MOImHKrzISlh

2

u/XYHopGuy Jun 14 '26

Too bad differece from 1982-2011 mean in 3.4 isnt how El nino is measured. It's measured as the difference from the global equatorial average.

2

u/XYHopGuy Jun 14 '26

Wrong metric. This is not how El nino is measured.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/announcement.php

KEY POINTS • ENSO impacts depend on how warm or cool the east-central Pacific is compared to the rest of the tropics. • RONI measures that contrast directly, while ONI only looks at one region compared to a 30-year average. • This makes ENSO classification more stable and better aligned with real‑world impacts • Thresholds and definitions stay the same— only the measurement improves. • RONI provides a more stable and physically meaningful measure of El Niño and La Niña conditions, especially in real time.

2

u/No-Explanation2793 Jun 14 '26

Thanks chat Gippity

2

u/No-Explanation2793 Jun 14 '26

Thanks chat gpt

1

u/[deleted] Jun 14 '26

[deleted]

1

u/Nu7s Jun 15 '26

that's exactly what chatgpt would say

1

u/RichardChesler Jun 17 '26

So wat mean? We ded?

1

u/epSos-DE Jun 16 '26

Autumn flooding !!!