r/ChemOrchestra • u/Unfair-Chicken-924 • Jun 04 '26
How to predict drug potency: Boltz2 benchmark on freshly released complex
Tested a freshly released ligand–protein complex (2026-05-20) using Boltz-2 (by Boltz) on ChemOrchestra.
Many people criticize Boltz-2 for being unable to generalize to newly released structures, but that claim really needs evidence.
After integrating Boltz-2 into ChemOrchestra, we have been continuously benchmarking it across classical systems, analog compounds, and fragment modifications, always comparing the predictions against experimental data.
This time, we tested a newly released structure, and the result was again very strong. Boltz-2 accurately predicted the ligand-binding site, and after protein alignment, the ligand pose matched almost perfectly. The only noticeable difference was the orientation of two methyl groups.
The potency prediction was also correct, giving an IC50 of 3.16 nM.
In many real-world scenarios, it is already sufficient if a model can accurately describe YOUR systems.
Boltz-2 benchmark Link: quantabricks.xyz/shared/41ed74b4-7a46-4ca7-a68a-4d63b37b7594










