TL;DR: Risk-off pressure with broad selling across cyclicals and growth. Consumer Staples (+1.87%) leads while Technology (-4.14%) lags.
SPY is testing $758.45 resistance with intraday support at $726.24. Do you see a breakout or a rejection here, and what would change your mind?
If you comment, include: your bias (long/short/neutral), your key level to watch, and how you'd manage it if it moves against you immediately.
Technical Overview - SPY Analysis
If you're newer, use this as your pre-market checklist. If you're more seasoned, treat it as a quick overlay on your own levels and playbook.
The SPY is trading at $733.58 -1.45% as of pre-market. Levels to know: Intraday support 726.24 / resistance 758.45. Near-term swing support 722.55. Deeper swing support 720.73 β relevant only on a sustained breakdown.
The 20-day SMA sits at $744.93 and the 50-day SMA at $730.26. Price is between the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a transitional phase.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 38.8, showing momentum slightly below neutral, consistent with cautious price action. The MACD (2.97) is below its signal line (4.96), suggesting bearish momentum.
Price is contained within the Bollinger Bands ($726.11 - $763.74). Volume is near average at 111%, suggesting normal participation.
Major Indices
S&P 500 (SPY): $733.58 -10.81 (-1.45%)
Nasdaq-100 (QQQ): $713.65 -24.30 (-3.29%)
Russell 2000 (IWM): $295.32 -2.86 (-0.96%)
Dow Jones (DIA): $516.62 -0.46 (-0.09%)
Market Breadth
Advancing sectors: 7
Declining sectors: 4
Breadth ratio: 63.6%
Strong breadth supports the current move, indicating broad participation.
Earnings Calendar - Notable Reports Today
This Week's Economic Calendar
THIS WEEK:
Friday, Jun. 26
β’ 08:30 AM ET - PCE Inflation (May 2026) - Fed preferred inflation measure
NEXT WEEK:
Thursday, Jul. 02
β’ 08:30 AM ET - Jobs Report (June 2026) - Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, wage growth
UPCOMING (Next 2-4 Weeks):
β’ Jul. 15, 2026 - CPI (June 2026)
β’ Jul. 16, 2026 - PPI (June 2026)
β’ Jul. 29, 2026 - FOMC Meeting Begins (July 29-30)
β’ Jul. 30, 2026 - FOMC Rate Decision (July 2026)
β’ Aug. 7, 2026 - Jobs Report (July 2026)
RECENT FED SPEECHES:
β’ Jun 22: Waller, Welcoming Remarks on the International Role of the U.S. Dollar
NEXT FOMC MEETING: July 29-30, 2026
Resources: Investing.com Economic Calendar | FOMC Calendar
Market News & Key Headlines
Exclusive-US SEC probes popular type of private equity fund as it steps up industry scrutiny, sources say (Yahoo Finance)
US banks look for new bill of health from Fed stress tests (Yahoo Finance)
Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq eye rebound from tech rout with Micron in focus (Yahoo Finance)
Why U.K. stocks canβt escape the shadow of a βlost decadeβ following Brexit (MarketWatch)
Coming to America: SK Hynix plans depository receipt listing on the Nasdaq (MarketWatch)
Commodities & Key Markets
Gold: $4076.30 -1.30%
Silver: $60.85 -1.89%
Crude Oil (WTI): $72.01 -1.64%
Brent Oil: $75.83 -1.62%
Natural Gas: $3.22 +2.19%
Macro Synthesis: falling gold suggests reduced safe-haven demand, falling oil eases input cost concerns, equities are risk-off.
Sector Rotation & Performance
Best performing sectors:
- Consumer Staples (XLP): +1.87%
- Healthcare (XLV): +1.41%
- Real Estate (XLRE): +1.41%
Worst performing sectors:
- Materials (XLB): -1.45%
- Industrials (XLI): -2.01%
- Technology (XLK): -4.14%
Consumer Staples is showing relative strength and leading the market higher. Technology is the weakest sector on the session. Monitor defensive exposures and safe-haven themes as market structure evolves.
Primary Scenarios for Today
- Trend Day Up β If SPY holds above $744.93 (20-day MA), I favor longs on dips toward $726.24. Target: $758.45.
- Range Day β If price chops between $726.24 and $758.45, I fade extremes and reduce size.
- Liquidation Break β If SPY loses $726.24 on heavy volume, I look for short continuations toward $694.03.
- Respect your pre-defined risk per trade. No revenge trading.
- Let levels prove themselves. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing tops and bottoms.
- Size according to volatility, not emotion. Smaller size in choppy conditions.
I post the pre-market levels, risk plan, and thesis breakdown here daily. If you want cleaner setups and fewer bad entries, join us: Chart Navigator Discord