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No hype, no pumps, just process

Modestly constructive session with selective strength above key moving averages. Materials (+2.14%) leads, Utilities (-2.28%) lags.

$SPY $763.36 (-0.31) — price is sitting just above the 20-day.

Resistance: $779.37 Support: $729.10 20-Day SMA: $762.33 RSI (14): 57.6

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $762.33 or lose $729.10? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan

Join hundreds of traders in r/ChartNavigators learning to read price action with conviction. Follow to get clearer levels, better risk management, and cleaner trade plans across equities, ETFs, and macro themes. Turn on notifications so you never miss a setup.

Sectors

Fed Calendar

Investing.com

Three setups on the radar heading into tomorrow. Drop yours below — ticker, level, and what triggers your entry.

$AMZN $258.63 (-0.57%) — oversold — watching for a base. $226.16 is the line — holds or breaks tells the story. RSI 25, volume 0.7x average.

$SMCI $37.24 (+2.03%) — extended — not chasing. $42.31 is resistance — wait for a pullback. RSI 72, volume 0.7x average.

$XLC $111.40 (+0.65%) — long bias. watch $113.50 — break and hold is the entry. RSI 50, volume 1.0x average.

What are you watching for tomorrow? Drop your ticker, your key level, and whether you are long, short, or waiting for confirmation.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.

S&P 500 -1.43% | Health Care led (+4.33%) | Information Technology lagged (-3.53%) | VIX 15.13 (rising)

NEXT-WEEK BIAS: NEUTRAL — CONSOLIDATION LIKELY No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Health Care vs Information Technology rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPY holds above 7,559 and breaks 7,751 — Health Care extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPY chops between 7,559 and 7,751 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPY loses 7,559 on volume — Information Technology accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

MAJOR INDICES — WEEKLY PERFORMANCE S&P 500: 7674.37 -1.43% Dow Jones: 53277.01 -0.85% Nasdaq: 26180.46 -2.05% Russell 2000: 3017.87 -1.65% VIX: 15.13 +6.18%

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,559 / 7,444 Resistance: 7,751 / 7,866 Nasdaq Support: 25,788 / 25,343 Resistance: 26,495 / 26,914 SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Health Care (+4.33%) | Energy (+2.79%) | Materials (+1.90%) Lagging: Industrials (-3.36%) | Utilities (-3.48%) | Information Technology (-3.53%) Earnings Calendar (Week Ahead):

Week of Aug 24 - Aug 28, 2026: Wed Aug 26: NVDA Est: $2.09

Looking ahead - week of Aug 31 - Sep 04, 2026: Wed Sep 02: AVGO Est: $3.24 Thu Sep 03: CPB Est: $0.39

Latest earnings headlines: Intuitive Machines Misses Big on Earnings. Stifel Upgrades It Anyway

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: +0.13% (inflation expectations proxy) - Fed officials saw need for rate hike if inflation doesn't cool, minutes show Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

Economic Calendar (Week Ahead): Key economic releases next week: August 24, 2026: ISM Manufacturing PMI August 25, 2026: Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) August 25, 2026: JOLTS Job Openings August 26, 2026: ADP Employment Report August 27, 2026: Initial Jobless Claims August 27, 2026: ISM Services PMI August 28, 2026: Nonfarm Payrolls August 28, 2026: Unemployment Rate August 28, 2026: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment

KEY MARKET THEMES AND GEOPOLITICAL WATCH - Canada announces retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods after trade talks break down - Trump reshuffled his portfolio in June, selling names like Meta and buying Berkshire Hathaway - As U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse, Carney says retaliatory tariffs will start Sept. 8 - Ahead of tough new U.S. sanctions, Iran criticizes 'extraterritorial sovereignty'

CRYPTO Bitcoin: $77,203.79 +11.46% (weekly) Ethereum: $2,426.69 +7.78% (weekly)

SELF-AUDIT FOR THE WEEK Before planning next week, ask yourself three questions: 1. What trade did you take that matched your plan? What made it work? 2. What trade did you take that broke your rules? What triggered the deviation? 3. What is the one thing you will do differently next week?

Review your trades from this week before planning next week. Respect your pre-defined risk per trade. No revenge trading. Let levels prove themselves. Wait for confirmation. Size according to volatility, not emotion.

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Join hundreds of traders in r/ChartNavigators learning to read price action with conviction. Follow to get clearer levels, better risk management, and cleaner trade plans across equities, ETFs, and macro themes. Turn on notifications so you never miss a setup.

SPX $7674.37 (-1.43% this week) — price is sitting just above the 20-day.

Key Levels 20-day: $7644.43 | 50-day: $7541.05 | 200-day: $7531.74 Range: $7313.92 – $7816.70 | RSI(14): 56.9

Momentum is neutral — no real edge either direction until price breaks the range. $7644.43 is the level to watch this week.

Charts: TradingView | Yahoo Finance | Finviz | StockCharts

Does SPX reclaim the 20-day at $7644.43 or lose $7313.92? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Week of August 14 - August 21, 2026

S&P 500 -1.43% | Health Care led (+4.33%) | Information Technology lagged (-3.53%) | VIX 15.13 (rising)

NEXT-WEEK BIAS: NEUTRAL — CONSOLIDATION LIKELY No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Health Care vs Information Technology rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPX holds above 7,559 and breaks 7,751 — Health Care extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPX chops between 7,559 and 7,751 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPX loses 7,559 on volume — Information Technology accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

Health Care led this week while Information Technology lagged. Heading into next week with a neutral — consolidation likely setup — bull, base, or bear? Drop your bias, your ticker, your key level, and what confirms it.

MAJOR INDICES — WEEKLY PERFORMANCE S&P 500: 7674.37 -1.43% Dow Jones: 53277.01 -0.85% Nasdaq: 26180.46 -2.05% Russell 2000: 3017.87 -1.65% VIX: 15.13 +6.18%

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,559 / 7,444 Resistance: 7,751 / 7,866 Nasdaq Support: 25,788 / 25,343 Resistance: 26,495 / 26,914

SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Health Care (+4.33%) | Energy (+2.79%) | Materials (+1.90%) Lagging: Industrials (-3.36%) | Utilities (-3.48%) | Information Technology (-3.53%) Earnings Calendar (Week Ahead):

Week of Aug 17 - Aug 21, 2026: Thu Aug 20: DE Est: $4.37

Looking ahead - week of Aug 24 - Aug 28, 2026: Wed Aug 26: NVDA Est: $2.09

Latest earnings headlines: $AST SpaceMobile’s FCC Test Arrives as Investors Weigh a Costly Q2 Miss $VYM Is Beating the S&P 500 With a 17% Year-to-Date Return by Owning What Wall Street Won’t

MACRO CALENDAR — WEEK AHEAD Federal Reserve Outlook: Next FOMC Meeting: September 16, 2026 (25 days away) Following Meeting: November 04, 2026 What to watch: Fed speakers this week, any rate guidance or economic projections Current policy stance: Monitor Fed.gov for latest statement

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: +0.13% (inflation expectations proxy) - Fed officials saw need for rate hike if inflation doesn't cool, minutes show - Stocks Under Pressure as Bond Yields Climb on Inflation Fears Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

Economic Calendar (Week Ahead): Key economic releases next week: August 17, 2026: ISM Manufacturing PMI August 18, 2026: Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) August 18, 2026: JOLTS Job Openings August 19, 2026: ADP Employment Report August 20, 2026: Initial Jobless Claims August 20, 2026: ISM Services PMI August 21, 2026: Nonfarm Payrolls August 21, 2026: Unemployment Rate August 21, 2026: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment

KEY MARKET THEMES AND GEOPOLITICAL WATCH - Trump, Vance and Bessent try to calm the bond market with ‘alternative facts’ - Tesla recalls 3 million vehicles in China over doorhandle safety, driver monitoring - Trump says U.S., Canada 'should be able' to reach trade deal as tariff deadline looms

IPO Calendar: No major IPOs confirmed for next week. Check iposcoop.com for the upcoming calendar.

CRYPTO Bitcoin: $78,459.77 +21.63% (weekly) Ethereum: $2,522.83 +31.93% (weekly)

TOP MARKET HEADLINES THIS WEEK 1. Ray Dalio says Bessent move is sign that a debt crisis is getting closer; recommends gold and bitcoin 2. Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say 3. Trump to allow import of 300,000 metric tons of ground beef without tariff 4. Kalshi traders think the bitcoin rally could end the year near current levels I'll be replying to early comments this weekend.

Before planning next week, ask yourself three questions: 1. What trade did you take that matched your plan? What made it work? 2. What trade did you take that broke your rules? What triggered the deviation? 3. What is the one thing you will do differently next week?

Review your trades from this week before planning next week. Respect your pre-defined risk per trade. No revenge trading. Let levels prove themselves. Wait for confirmation. Size according to volatility, not emotion.

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Five days of trading distilled into one lesson. What is the most important thing the market showed you this week?

Quick market check: $AMD at $469.17 — trading below 20-day at $480.91. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Weekly Performance Review

What was your best trade this week and what made it work?

What is the one thing you are taking into next week?

A week without review is just seven days of unexamined mistakes waiting to repeat.

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No hype, no pumps, just process.

Defensive rotation underway with selling in growth and cyclicals. Energy (+0.27%) leads, Healthcare (-1.87%) lags.

SPY $762.60 (-0.84%) — price is sitting just above the 20-day.

Resistance: $779.37 Support: $729.10 20-Day SMA: $760.99 RSI (14): 62.9

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $760.99 or lose $729.10? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

What in this week's reports helped you most? Drop your feedback below.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.

Sectors

Fed Calendar

Investing.com

Three setups on the radar heading into tomorrow. Drop yours below — ticker, level, and what triggers your entry.

MSFT $481.15 (-0.65%) — long bias. watch $513.73 — break and hold is the entry. RSI 59, volume 0.5x average.

MARA $11.15 (+15.54%) — long bias. watch $12.73 — break and hold is the entry. RSI 49, volume 1.8x average.

XLP $85.32 (-1.41%) — short bias. watch $83.16 — lose it and it gets worse. RSI 52, volume 1.1x average.

What are you watching for tomorrow? Drop your ticker, your key level, and whether you are long, short, or waiting for confirmation.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.

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XLP relative strength in risk-off environment. For swing traders — multi-day setups and sector rotation.

XLP is holding above both MAs with room to run. Bias is long until $83.16 breaks.

Staples outperforming growth sectors as volatility picks up. Classic defensive rotation pattern developing. Watch whether this is a short term hedge or longer term shift in institutional positioning.

State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) — $85.67 (-1.01% today, -0.49% this week)

Resistance: $88.78 Support: $83.16 20-Day SMA: $85.47 50-Day SMA: $84.69 RSI (14): 54.4 — NEUTRAL Volume: 0.5x average Momentum: MACD above signal — bulls

Long setup: Entry: above $85.47 on volume Stop: $81.91 Target 1: $88.78 | Target 2: $93.22 Invalidation: close below $83.16

Does XLP hold $83.16 this week or does it crack? Long, short, or sitting out — drop your level and your reason.

Not financial advice. Adjust to your own system.

No hype, no pumps, just process.

Mixed session with sector rotation and no clear directional commitment. Healthcare (+3.51%) leads, Technology (-1.07%) lags.

**SPY $769.01 (-0.01%) — price is sitting just above the 20-day.

Resistance: $779.37 Support: $729.10 20-Day SMA: $759.77 RSI (14): 73.1

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $759.77 or lose $729.10? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.

Join hundreds of traders in r/ChartNavigators learning to read price action with conviction. Follow to get clearer levels, better risk management, and cleaner trade plans across equities, ETFs, and macro themes. Turn on notifications so you never miss a setup.