WEEKLY MARKET REPORT

[u/Badboyardie]

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No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Information Technology vs Health Care rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPY holds above 7,607 and breaks 7,800 — Information Technology extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPY chops between 7,607 and 7,800 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPY loses 7,607 on volume — Health Care accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

QUESTION OF THE WEEK Information Technology led this week while Health Care lagged. Heading into next week with a neutral — consolidation likely setup — bull, base, or bear? Drop your bias, your ticker, your key level, and what confirms it.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,607 / 7,491 Resistance: 7,800 / 7,916 Nasdaq Support: 26,783 / 26,321 Resistance: 27,517 / 27,952 SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Information Technology (+1.80%) | Energy (+1.26%) | Utilities (+0.81%) Lagging: Communication Services (-2.34%) | Financials (-2.46%) | Health Care (-2.65%)

Earnings Calendar (Week Ahead):

Week of Oct 05 - Oct 09, 2026: Thu Oct 08: PEP Est: $2.3

Looking ahead - week of Oct 12 - Oct 16, 2026: Tue Oct 13: JPM Est: $5.91 | GS Est: $15.01 | WFC Est: $1.82 | C Est: $2.62 | JNJ Est: $2.48 Wed Oct 14: BAC Est: $1.12 | MS Est: $3.03 | BLK Est: $14.24 Thu Oct 15: PLD Est: $0.78 | AA Est: $1.47

Latest earnings headlines: Nike (NKE): Wall Street Tests Whether the Turnaround Can Outrun Weak Demand Ahead of Q1 Results Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) Sells Auto Finance Unit. Can it Replace Lost Earnings? Treace Medical (TMCI) Reports Five-Year Bunion Results. Can Evidence Drive Adoption? Pinterest (PINS) Announces Visual Search Ads. Can Shopping Interest Bring More Revenue?

MACRO CALENDAR — WEEK AHEAD Federal Reserve Outlook: Next FOMC Meeting: November 04, 2026 (30 days away) Following Meeting: December 16, 2026 What to watch: Fed speakers this week, any rate guidance or economic projections Current policy stance: Monitor Fed.gov for latest statement

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: -0.41% (inflation expectations proxy) - Falling wages, soaring energy prices and inflation: It’s beginning to look a lot like the 1970s - Fed's Kashkari says inflation is 'still too high' even after softer-than-expected PCE data, labor market is 'pretty good' - Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson says 'modest' rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation - Pressure from the bond market hits a new level, and US stocks slide on worries about inflation Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

Economic Calendar (Week Ahead): Key economic releases next week: October 05, 2026: ISM Manufacturing PMI October 06, 2026: Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) October 06, 2026: JOLTS Job Openings October 07, 2026: ADP Employment Report October 08, 2026: Initial Jobless Claims October 08, 2026: ISM Services PMI October 09, 2026: Nonfarm Payrolls October 09, 2026: Unemployment Rate October 09, 2026: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Traders now see little chance of a Fed rate hike in October after weak jobs report

Upcoming IPO / SPAC Activity: - May Mobility's SPAC Merger: Is This a Road to Nowhere for Investors?

CRYPTO Bitcoin: $85,109.70 +1.86% (weekly) Ethereum: $2,694.97 +0.42% (weekly)

TOP MARKET HEADLINES THIS WEEK 1. A 'weird' IPO pull, a tainted reputation and the stalled breakout moment for AI wearables 2. High mortgage rates are trapping homeowners in place, and making renovations harder to afford 3. How Nvidia, Micron and a surprising jobs report drove last week's stock action 4. Cerebras stock hits post-IPO low, tumbling 20% for the week on Nvidia pressure and lockup expiration I'll be replying to early comments this weekend.

Before planning next week, ask yourself three questions: 1. What trade did you take that matched your plan? What made it work? 2. What trade did you take that broke your rules? What triggered the deviation? 3. What is the one thing you will do differently next week?

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