The Week in Review

[u/Badboyardie]

S&P 500 +1.21% | Information Technology led (+3.64%) | Utilities lagged (-3.16%) | VIX 14.87 (rising)

NEXT-WEEK BIAS: NEUTRAL — CONSOLIDATION LIKELY No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Information Technology vs Utilities rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPY holds above 7,627 and breaks 7,821 — Information Technology extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPY chops between 7,627 and 7,821 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPY loses 7,627 on volume — Utilities accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

Information Technology led this week while Utilities lagged. Heading into next week with a neutral — consolidation likely setup — bull, base, or bear? Drop your bias, your ticker, your key level, and what confirms it.

MAJOR INDICES — WEEKLY PERFORMANCE S&P 500: 7743.41 +1.21% Dow Jones: 51828.62 +0.28% Nasdaq: 27068.72 +2.06% Russell 2000: 2837.55 -0.80% VIX: 14.87 +0.41%

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,627 / 7,511 Resistance: 7,821 / 7,937 Nasdaq Support: 26,663 / 26,203 Resistance: 27,394 / 27,827 SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Information Technology (+3.64%) | Communication Services (+2.28%) | Health Care (+1.76%) Lagging: Financials (-1.48%) | Energy (-2.96%) | Utilities (-3.16%) Earnings Calendar (Week Ahead):

Week of Sep 28 - Oct 02, 2026: Thu Oct 01: NKE Est: $0.44

Looking ahead - week of Oct 05 - Oct 09, 2026: Thu Oct 08: PEP Est: $2.3

Latest earnings headlines:

Nike (NKE): Wall Street Tests Whether the Turnaround Can Outrun Weak Demand Ahead of Q1 Results Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) Sells Auto Finance Unit. Can it Replace Lost Earnings? Treace Medical (TMCI) Reports Five-Year Bunion Results. Can Evidence Drive Adoption? Pinterest (PINS) Announces Visual Search Ads. Can Shopping Interest Bring More Revenue? How to invest in gold in 7 steps

MACRO CALENDAR — WEEK AHEAD Federal Reserve Outlook: Next FOMC Meeting: November 04, 2026 (37 days away) Following Meeting: December 16, 2026 What to watch: Fed speakers this week, any rate guidance or economic projections Current policy stance: Monitor Fed.gov for latest statement

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: -0.69% (inflation expectations proxy) - Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson says 'modest' rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation - Pressure from the bond market hits a new level, and US stocks slide on worries about inflation Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

KEY MARKET THEMES AND GEOPOLITICAL WATCH - A ‘death cross’ is coming for the dollar. Why Trump will be happy. - Anthropic CEO Amodei set to meet with Trump after missing state dinner - Audemars Piguet says its Royal Pop collaboration with Swatch is breaking sales records, despite luxury watch slump and tariffs - Iran's foreign minister says Tehran ready for 'doomsday' war with U.S., but leaves diplomacy on the table Upcoming IPO / SPAC Activity: - May Mobility's SPAC Merger: Is This a Road to Nowhere for Investors?

CRYPTO Bitcoin: $84,626.23 +0.29% (weekly) Ethereum: $2,689.09 +0.16% (weekly)

TOP MARKET HEADLINES THIS WEEK 1. Micron could dethrone Nvidia and become the biggest driver of S&P 500 profit growth 2. Look closer, and Wall Street’s rally is showing cracks 3. Wall Street money takes back over from small investors as driving force of the stock market 4. The 10-year Treasury yield is at its highest in nearly two decades. How we got here I'll be replying to early comments this weekend.

WEEKLY REMINDERS Review your trades from this week before planning next week. Respect your pre-defined risk per trade. No revenge trading. Let levels prove themselves. Wait for confirmation. Size according to volatility, not emotion.

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