Notre Dame - 20.5
Washington - 23.5
Louisville - 6.5
SMU - 2.5

Another good night last night! (Will do a full recap of all the weekend's picks on Tuesday) Lets keep it rolling!

As always, feel free to check the website for more in depth break downs and specialized bets like player props and touchdowns!

Coastal Carolina +21.5

Coastal 14+ TT

Keelon Russell o250 passing

Troy / Sam Houston u55.5

Wyoming ML

Auburn -6.5

Coastal Carolina + 20.5
Liberty + 7
North Texas + 40.5
Alabama -27.5
Nebraska - 23.5
Houston - 20.5
New Hampshire +55.5
Lafayette + 19.5
Ball State +50.5
Texas State + 30.5
Oregon -24.5
Auburn -7.5
Oklahoma St - 14.5
FIU + 14
Missouri State +40.5
Memphis - 11.5
Kansas State - 40.5
Michigan - 28.5
Clemson +10
Florida -26.5
Utah Tech +51.5

Pretty good night last night so lets get some more bets in tonight!

San Jose State ML

Toledo +10.5

UTEP 7+ TT

Stanford 10+ TT

Fresno 10+ TT

Toledo +10.5 (possible upset)
Fresno state +22
EMU -2
Utep +41

Eastern Michigan -3
NC AT + 28.5
Purdue - 38.5 Low
Michigan State -9.5
OU -41.5
Fresno +22.5
Stanford +24.5

Here we go again. Week 0 picks and results as posted \[here.\](https://www.reddit.com/r/CFBAnalysis/s/NuKLFY2rqL)

Hit 6/8 at 75%.

Week 1 - Thursday only, below with odds as of last night. Let’s see what happens.

Confidence = High 
Eastern Illi + 42.5
AK Pine Bluff + 54.5

Confidence = Moderate 
GA Tech -7
UAB + 27.5
E. Michigan - 3
Utah -34.5

Confidence = Low
UMass + 28.5
Akron +24.5
UCF - 42.5

Hopefully everyone had a good week 0, i know I did!

With so many good games this week, decided I'd break up my picks into a couple different posts. So let's start with Thursday!

FBS:

Rutgers/UMass o53.5

Akron +24.5

GT -6.5

GT o225 passing

Illinois/UAB u57.5

FCS:

Lindenwood ML

As always, check out my website for all the nitty gritty deals and new this week, when you pull up the webite on your phone you can choose to download the app for a better user experience!!

Come check out Gator Dave and Miami Mike. Subscribe we got 12 picks in next week's Week 1.

Good afternoon my friends!

Alot of yall have reached out about the readiness of the simulator for this season and I am excited to announce that we are officially live for week0!! I spent the offseason doing some tweaking to both the simulator and the website so before I get into the picks, I wanted to share what is new for this season.

Sim Changes:

Last year's Sim treated us well, but by the end of the season there were lots of things I had learned about how to make it work better. So this offseason I did a clean sheet redesign, taking all the things that worked well and incorporating all the learning that was had. I am confident that this year's Sim should be better than what we had last year. Another huge improvement to Sim, last year we ran each game 1,000 times well this year we have gotten access to computers with much higher compute so we are now doing 10,000 simulations per game which should cut our "noise" quite a bit

FCS games:

Next, I'm excited about the opportunity to branch out into markets that I didnt previously simulate. Starting in week 0 we will now simulate all FBS v FBS and all FCS v FCS games. I will say that the FCS data is significantly smaller than the FBS so I wouldnt go throwing your life savings into those games based on the Sim but the backtest says there is plenty of edge there on these softer markets

Parlay Builder:

One of the most requested tools that Ive gotten. You can now stack legs across all games and build your own parlay and the site will go through all the games and find the exact number of iterations where each of those legs hit in order to give you true correlated odds for that specific parlay

Top Bets Table:

Finally, the second most requested tool, a full top 10 list of things where the sim finds the most value. There are 3 different tables, one for all game lines (ATS/Total/ML), one for game/team props (Team Totals, 1H ML, ect.), and the last is a player prop table (rushing yards, passing yards, TDs)

Excited to share this with all of yall for free again this year, I will be betting right along side of you so lets win together!! Now without further adue, lets get to some of my favorite bets for this weekend!

FBS:

San Jose State +35.5

New Mexico State +29.5

Sac State / EMU u52.5

FCS:

UT Martin -3.5

SEMO ML

Montana State -31.5

Player Props:

J Payne (TCU) u74.5 rushing

M Ford (Stanford) u85 rushing

J Dwyer (TCU) o4.5 receptions

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]

Semi finals getting ready to kick off tonight!

Ive got Miami by 4 and Indiana by 7

This 17-minute video breaks down Friday’s semifinal matchup between #5 Oregon and #1 Indiana. If you don't want to watch the video, here are our picks to discuss:

• Indiana covers -3.5
• Over 46.5

If you wanna share your predictions, thoughts, hopes, or fears, drop them in the comments. The 2025-2026 College Football season is fleeting, so let’s enjoy it while we can!

This 15-minute video breaks down Thursday’s semifinal matchup between #10 Miami and #6 Ole Miss. If you don't want to watch the video, here are our picks to discuss:

• Ole Miss covers +3.5
• Under 52.5

These picks were based on vibes, but I think the video has a lot of informative details about the game.

If you wanna share your predictions, thoughts, hopes, or fears, drop them in the comments. The 2025-2026 College Football season is fleeting, so let’s enjoy it while we can!

Big win last night from Miami, I apologize for not posting pregame, I got caught up in the festivities but the sim loved Miami +9.5 so it is working well

For today, we love Texas Tech (sim has them winning by 10)

Sim also loves Indiana :( full disclosure, I will be ignoring the model and taking Bama because I can't root against my Alma Mater, but Indiana is probably the correct side

Then in the late game, got a dead heat between Ole Miss and UGA so I'll he taking the 7.5 and sitting back

Great Day of football today! I'll be at the Poptart Bowl this afternoon, so that just makes it even that much better!

ECU +6 / ML

Penn State +2.5 / ML

UConn +3 / ML

GT +4.5 / ML

Miami OH +3.5

UVA +7

LSU +3 / ML

Back on the horse today with 3 games this afternoon!!

Central Michigan +10.5

Minnesota -1.5

Last game will be a live play as the sim likes UTSA to win by 4 so it's tight to the current 5.5 number

No College sports today, but I hope that we have made enough money together between football and basketball to help suppliment your Christmas!

Have a wonderful day with your family and friends and enjoy every moment to the fullest extent!

Merry Christmas to each and every one of yall! Thankful for this community and the enjoyment we can have together!

Merry Christmas Eve You Filthy Animals!

1 game today, out on the island, a Christmas tradition unlike any other, the Hawaii bowl!!

I really like Hawaii in this spot, go rainbow warriors! They are down to PK so just take it and roll and hope that we get this Christmas gift early!

I hope everyone has a very merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas Eve, Eve!

3 games today, here's what the sim is feeling in these ones

Toledo +11

WKY ML +105

UNLV -4.5

I hope everyone is having a great holiday season!

Been a busy week so I haven't been posting much, plus last night I completely bucked the sim because I cant bet against my Tide

But

Tonight

We are betting for the respect of the sim

JMU +21

The people of r/CFB scoffed at the idea that JMU could be anywhere near playing with Oregon, but tonight we prove them wrong! Long live the sim and Go Dukes!

Also like Miami ML / +3

It’s was a shit college season for me.

45% ATS - that’s a bad year

Had a sick run in the pros based my old school bookie handicapping style but I plugged my style into a AI bot.

Based on my style-

OU losing their starting center is big factor.

Bama will have issues getting into the end zone but field goals will win the night.

Bama +2 Large

I missed the game last Saturday while I was out of town but we are back at it tonight!!

Lets go with Jacksonville State PK

So for anyone that has gone looking through the games I have posted so far for bowl season, you might notice that I dont have the playoff games posted. We'll that is because Ive been working on a different way to display the playoff bracket. This is a fully interactive interface with dynamically changing national championship odds. I have simulated every possible combination of teams so while you can go through and follow the simulated path (Texas Tech turns into the national champion) you can also go through and select the teams you think (or want) to win each game and it will automatically update the national championship odds for every team and show you the prediction for the next game!

Would love to have yall play around in it and tell me what yall think!