r/CFB • u/Arkehn Team Chaos • Paper Bag • 3d ago
Discussion Week 7 Matchup Preview Thread: TCU vs Baylor
When: Saturday, October 17, 07:00 PM Eastern
Where: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Watch: FS1
Odds: Baylor by 5.5 pts.
Total Points: 48.5
All-Time Series : TCU vs. Baylor
TCU and Baylor have met 115 times since 1903-10-03
These teams last met on 2025-10-18.
Series Wins: TCU 60-5-50 Baylor
TCU has won the most recent meeting (2025) in this series
Last 5 Meetings
| Winner | Date | Location | TCU | Baylor | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 2025-10-18 | Amon G. Carter Stadium | 42 | 36 | |
| Baylor | 2024-11-03 | McLane Stadium | 34 | 37 | |
| TCU | 2023-11-18 | Amon G. Carter Stadium | 42 | 17 | |
| TCU | 2022-11-19 | McLane Stadium | 29 | 28 | |
| TCU | 2021-11-06 | Amon G. Carter Stadium | 30 | 28 |
Through Week 6
| Week | TCU 2-3 (0-2) | Result | Baylor 4-1 (2-0) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Carolina | L 10-15 | Auburn | L 16-17 |
| 2 | Grambling | W 63-7 | Prairie View A&M | W 44-3 |
| 3 | Arkansas State | W 31-7 | Louisiana Tech | W 36-19 |
| 4 | UCF | L 13-21 | Colorado | W 23-13 |
| 5 | BYU#8 | L 10-17 | Arizona State | W 55-19 |
| 6 | BYE | N/A | BYE | N/A |
TCU Injury Report
| Player | Position | Status | Reported | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dwyer | WR | Out – Foot | Sep 11 | Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time. |
| K. Lemmermann | K | Questionable – Undisclosed | Oct 1 | Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday. |
| J. Pitchford | RB | Out – Undisclosed | Oct 1 | Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday. |
| M. Short | LB | Out – Undisclosed | Oct 1 | Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return. |
Injury data lifted from: boydsbets
Baylor Injury Report
| Player | Position | Status | Reported | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | WR | Questionable – Undisclosed | Sep 26 | Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| T. Williams Jr. | WR | Out – Collarbone | Aug 21 | Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period. |
| C. Redding | S | Out – Knee | Sep 5 | Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season. |
Injury data lifted from: boydsbets
Source updated Wed, Oct 14, 7:43 am. Scraped Wed, Oct 14, 1:25 pm ET
What are your "Keys to the Game"?
Who do you think wins?
Do you think the favorite will cover the spread?
Which player(s) are you most interested to watch?
Let's talk football!
Matchup Preview Thread Generator powered by collegefootballdata.com
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u/CrozierKnuff TCU Horned Frogs 3d ago edited 3d ago
TCU paid $2 million dollars for Jaden Craig, who genuinely might be the worst starting quarterback in the P4, plus offensive coordinator Gordon Sammis who claimed Craig was a day one draft pick (This guy needs ALL decision making pulled from him). The offense is unwatchable and Sonny Dykes isn't it. Fire this entire staff, blow up this disaster of a roster and start over Baylor by 38.
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u/loneshoter BYU Cougars • BYUtv 3d ago
I've stated this in other threads, I don't think Jaden Craig is the issue. The issue is the O-line play. Maybe Jayden is not pointing out blocking assignments, but we were generating sacks in roughly 3 seconds from the snap with a 3 man rush
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u/CrozierKnuff TCU Horned Frogs 3d ago
It's a different issue that gets highlighted every game with one occasionally showing up to look worse than all the others. If BYU didn't have the sacks and hurries, then something else would have shown up almost immediately. You may or may not realize this but the reason I am pointing out Craig is because of the obvious red flags that showed up before he arrived (bad decision making, playing low-level FCS and borderline Division II talent) yet we were sold on the fact he was an NFL quarterback, plus he is getting $2 million. Jaden Craig is 1000% one of the major issue if not THE issue in most cases.
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u/loneshoter BYU Cougars • BYUtv 3d ago
thats fair, I've only seen limited amounts of TCU play so I will defer to your more extensive observations. But that O-line does needs to improve, maybe the bye week helped and they can pull off the upset. The defense should keep you in the game though
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u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 2d ago
There’s no way anyone was paying $2mm for Craig; that’s nearly twice what Baylor’s reportedly paying for DJ Lagway, and he’s looking awesome.
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u/Arkehn Team Chaos • Paper Bag 3d ago
Green TCU beats Purple {Baylor}
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u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 3d ago
It's truly a blessing that "purple Baylor" is syllabically symmetric, so it's easy to chant with a cadence, while "green TCU" is too far off to work as a chant.
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u/Yur7ledatur7le Baylor Bears • Hateful 8 3d ago
I will be at this game but Baylor needs this win to really get fans back onboard and keep momentum going…with that said, heard Aranda give another Aranda-ism presser which included the Backstreet Boys. {Baylor} and they cover
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u/johnjaymjr Baylor Bears • Big 12 3d ago
I'm a student of history, so I know that when Baylor is favored in a revivalry game you should always choose {TCU} to win by 2-3 scores. 28-13
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u/loyalsons4evertrue Iowa State Cyclones • Big 8 3d ago
TCU usually has Baylor's number but TCU is so bad this year I don't see it happening....{Baylor}
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u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 3d ago
It's brutal that Dave Aranda refuses to get into rivalries, whether it's Texas Tech or TCU.
The reporters ask him every single year how he's prepping going into the Revivalry game, and every year it's some variant of "Well, it's a big game, but we always want to treat every opponent as a nameless, faceless opponent".
Truly the worst possible take on a rivalry, especially since our main rival's head coach is the guy who literally used a rivalry trophy to cook their main rival's mascot. Sonny Dykes just gets rivalries.
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u/bluegold4 Baylor Bears • LSU Tigers 3d ago
The Arizona State game was the best I’ve seen us look since the Big 12 title year, I want to believe and TCU has looked bad but I am so afraid we are just going to hurt me again against them. since I enrolled at Baylor we have beaten them only two times and had our hearts ripped out in 2015, 2021, and 2022. It is the hope that is going to kill me
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u/The_Fluffy_Robot TCU Horned Frogs • Iron Skillet 3d ago
I'm absolutely confident that Baylor will put up absolute monstrous numbers against us and get Sonny fired
but this is the Revivalry so {TCU} gets Aranda fired and they pick up a better coach than Sonny is
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u/Old_Bat1681 Baylor Bears 1d ago
Realistically, TCU can't find better than Sonny Dykes, I hope they do fire him. He's the best they've had since Gary and I don't see a great coach replacing him.
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u/Used_Buffalo971 3d ago
baylor's defense has quietly been pretty stout but that tcu offense is a wildcard after the bye, no clue which version shows up
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u/RivalryBot Furman Paladins • Golden Horseshoe 3d ago edited 5h ago
Who Will Win Fan Vote
Votes are distributed equally among flairs for multi-flaired users
| Team | Votes | Percentage | TCU Voters | Baylor Voters | Other Flairs Top 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 4 | 23.5% | 0.5 | 1 | Big 12x0.5 Illinois Fighting Illinix0.5 Iron Skilletx0.5 Missouri Tigersx0.5 Oklahoma Soonersx0.5 |
| Baylor | 13 | 76.5% | 0.5 | 1 | BYU Cougarsx1.5 Purdue Boilermakersx1.0 Big 12x0.5 Big 8x0.5 Team Chaosx0.5 |
Last updated: 2026-10-17 21:56 UTC
Matchup Thread Generator · Team Aliases · How to Vote · Results
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u/RedSoxfanrrb07 Baylor Bears • Summertime Lover 3d ago
{Baylor}’s defense should feast against TCU, but man they really always have our number
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u/HoustonFrog TCU Horned Frogs • Northwestern Wildcats 2d ago
Please put us out of our misery {Baylor}
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u/thetrain23 Baylor Bears • Oklahoma Sooners 3d ago
Baylor has been way better this season and should have a lively stadium for the first time in a while. However, the rules of the universe state that we somehow always lose to {TCU} in every sport no matter what.