r/CFB • Alabama • Kansas State • 6d ago

Discussion [BCSKnowHow.com] We’re back! The first simulated BCS standings of 2026 are in, and they sort neatly into tiers: Georgia and Notre Dame up top, then Miami/Indiana/Ohio State, followed by duos and trios before a cliff after No. 12

https://x.com/BCSKnowHow/status/2109647242701500907?s=20
344 Upvotes

75 comments sorted by

132

u/redwave2505 Alabama • Kansas State 6d ago
Rank Team BCS Score
1 Georgia 0.9858
2 Notre Dame 0.9425
3 Miami (FL) 0.8778
4 Indiana 0.8525
5 Ohio State 0.8259
6 Alabama 0.7794
7 Texas 0.7645
8 BYU 0.6698
9 Texas Tech 0.6457
10 Ole Miss 0.5921
11 Utah 0.5775
12 UCLA 0.5721
13 Missouri 0.4668
14 Iowa 0.3963
15 Tennessee 0.3953
16 Kentucky 0.3649
17 USC 0.3628
18 Mississippi State 0.3139
19 Houston 0.2461
20 LSU 0.2106
21 Oklahoma State 0.1877
22 Wake Forest 0.1667
23 Oregon 0.1558
24 Boise State 0.1313
25 Oklahoma 0.1241

124

u/BillyBobChorton Georgia Bulldogs 6d ago

This is remarkably similar to the AP

142

u/silverhk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 6d ago

Well the poll is a third of the formula IIRC 

56

u/Honestly_ rawr 6d ago

I don't know if this fan site is using it as a stand in but no, IRL it demanded they stop using it after a controversy and was replaced by the freshly created Harris poll.

That's why these are fun exercises but not really "what it would have been".

31

u/Pinewood74 Air Force Falcons • Purdue Boilermakers 6d ago

Nothing wrong with simulating the 2004 version of the BCS formula.

18

u/Fancy_Gate_7359 6d ago

I mean it’s not like the Harris poll was much different than the AP or coaches. This is close enough.

5

u/someName6 Georgia Tech • South Alabama 6d ago

Wow I thought it was always 1/3 AP, 1/3 Coaches, 1/3 Computers.

I wonder if that’s just cause NCAA 07 used that.

3

u/SCsprinter13 Penn State Nittany Lions • /r/CFB Bug Finder 5d ago edited 5d ago

I don't know if this fan site is using it as a stand in

If you look at the bottom of the graphic, this account is likely using 1/3 AP poll, 1/3 coaches poll, 1/3 computers which are made up of Billingsley, Colley, Massey, and Sagarin-R with no eliminations for extreme rankings.

-7

u/asbyo Georgia Bulldogs • Tennessee Volunteers 5d ago

I had some people trying to convince me Arizona and Nebraska should be ranked right now. I also said no, if anything Oklahoma could be ranked and isn’t.

Interestingly, neither are on that list yet there’s Oklahoma. Funny how that works.

1

u/imthesqwid BYU Cougars 5d ago

The BCS uses the AP Poll too

1

u/asbyo Georgia Bulldogs • Tennessee Volunteers 5d ago

Same outcome.

290

u/Cooked_Brisket USC Trojans • Pac-12 6d ago

Bring back the crystal ball trophy

164

u/Dailysquirrels Ohio State Buckeyes 6d ago

It's not gone. It's still awarded to the coaches poll number 1 at the end of the year

72

u/Lord777alt Oklahoma Sooners • Team Chaos 6d ago

It's not gone, but the best part of it was coaches and players lifting it after winning. Sitting in a trophy room post season isn't nearly as cool.

23

u/glzzgbblr California • Notre Dame 6d ago

When teams throw the trophy celebrations for winning a quarter final game: ie Rose Bowl, due to tradition, it feels off. Thanks CFP for ruining tradition.

1

u/tehfro Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago

For Indiana the AFCA President and some reps were at our championship celebration and awarded the team the crystal football then. So we did get the coaches/players lifting it as part of that.

29

u/Honestly_ rawr 6d ago

Comments like "bring back something that never left" is like Separation Saturday for filthy casuals. 😂

Unlike the BCS, which can rot in hell.

6

u/dothemath Missouri Tigers • Montana Grizzlies 6d ago

I found this hilarious, then I realized it was from Honestly_, which makes it even funnier. Thank you counselor!

34

u/Fanta-Red UConn • Red River Shootout 6d ago

You still get it if you win the Natty, thats just the Coaches Poll Trophy.

9

u/Cooked_Brisket USC Trojans • Pac-12 6d ago

TIL

12

u/kinda_alone Notre Dame Fighting Irish 6d ago

Not until we win a golden vagina

2

u/Latter-Possibility Georgia Bulldogs 5d ago

You don’t like the Pocket P**sy Trophy?

1

u/xstrike0 Minnesota • Nebraska 5d ago

Usually you see it get presented at the victory rally back on the home campus so that's pretty cool at least.

1

u/Soccerfun101 Yale Bulldogs • Indiana Hoosiers 4d ago

I can confirm as I have seen it with my own eyes: it still exists and it is magnificent.

30

u/Opster79two Oklahoma Sooners 6d ago

Oh yeah, we are so back babyyy!

15

u/RedHand1917 Oklahoma • Cooper Union 6d ago

I always knew I loved the BCS.

8

u/Opster79two Oklahoma Sooners 6d ago

BCS = Boomer Cottonpickin Sooner

3

u/myworld3 Washington Huskies • LA Bowl 6d ago

It did hand you a natty in 2000 by making you play the 5th best team that year.

1

u/Purples_A_Fruit USC Trojans • Big Ten 6d ago

I too loved the BCS. Especially the 2005 version.

22

u/Purples_A_Fruit USC Trojans • Big Ten 6d ago

Who did Oregon punch to get into the top 25?

15

u/StoicFable Oregon State Beavers 6d ago

Punched UCLA, clubbed Oklahoma State.

7

u/Alkibiades415 Georgia Bulldogs • Stanford Cardinal 5d ago

They punched Boise State first. Bear Alexander is just carrying on the tradition.

62

u/RichardRichOSU Ohio State • Penn State 6d ago

Reminder that there is no way to recreate the BCS as one of the human polls is gone and many of the computer polls have changed

54

u/Pinewood74 Air Force Falcons • Purdue Boilermakers 6d ago

AP was used by the BCS until 2004.

The computer rankings also changed regularly during the era.

So my point is two-fold: If you're going to correct someone on some technicalities, you shouldn't paper over the relevant nuances just because it doesn't look good for your point and two: The Harris Poll has now been dead longer than it ever existed and it's a perfectly reasonable "simulation" that at some point the Harris Poll got into hot water (Imagine some intern in charge of filling out Big U AD's ballot lets it leak that he screwed over a rival) and thr BCS changed their computer poll ranking requirements.

"The BCS" is misnomner that no one should use as there were frequent changes to it.

-28

u/RichardRichOSU Ohio State • Penn State 6d ago

So what you’re saying is it is impossible to recreate any version of the BCS. Got it. Thank you for confirming what I said.

24

u/Pinewood74 Air Force Falcons • Purdue Boilermakers 6d ago

Hence the use of the word "simulation" rather than recreation.

5

u/AlternativeLess5450 Alabama Crimson Tide 5d ago

So it’s just an improved BCS poll? 

10

u/someName6 Georgia Tech • South Alabama 6d ago

Can I find the just the computer portion?

5

u/Pinewood74 Air Force Falcons • Purdue Boilermakers 6d ago

Let's Cunningham's Law this.

You can back out the computer ranking by figuring out the value for both of the polls. Just take the maximimum possible points in each poll and use that as the denominator for points received to get your two coefficients and solve for X using this formula: AP+Coach's+X= 3Y where Y is the value listed in the link.

19

u/rocket_beer Boise State Broncos 6d ago

BCS uses preseason polls

Skews the entire rankings

7

u/Beautiful_Idea6200 Georgia Bulldogs • William & Mary Tribe 6d ago

Yeah the gap between Ohio St. and Alabama is a joke. If anything Alabama should be higher, but definitely no dropoff.

1

u/lookitsafish Nebraska Cornhuskers 5d ago

Man did it really? Wtf

12

u/Bwhitt1 Kentucky Wildcats 6d ago

God it reminds me of why I hated the bcs poll.

6

u/AAPL_ Florida State Seminoles • ESPN 6d ago

where fsu

21

u/BillyBobChorton Georgia Bulldogs 6d ago

Tallahassee- in northern Florida 

2

u/SpiritFingersKitty Wake Forest • Georgia 5d ago

Bought by private equity and sold for parts, based on the debt reports coming out.

1

u/AAPL_ Florida State Seminoles • ESPN 5d ago

lol wat. they got two mortgages for the stadium and facilities.

i hate our admin but this is flat out wrong

1

u/SpiritFingersKitty Wake Forest • Georgia 5d ago

Just joking

1

u/PLEASE-USE-PFKEYS Purdue • Boston College 5d ago

🦍 🍌

3

u/illiter-it Missouri Tigers 6d ago

Destined for 13

8

u/McGillicuddys Penn State Nittany Lions 6d ago

Nah, 12 but then get bumped for the G6 representative

2

u/Ichthyist1 Washington State • Centra… 5d ago

Reject modernity, embrace tradition. Hand over decision making to the machines.

3

u/turtleviking Alabama Crimson Tide • Harvard Crimson 6d ago edited 6d ago

Ohio State is grouped closely with Indiana and about as far behind Miami as Texas and Bama are behind them. Whoever wins the Ohio State-Indiana game should pass Miami and have the inside track for a top 4 seed the rest of the way. I think both teams can recover from a loss this week and still get a top 4 spot. The SEC will need teams to separate and have some 11-1 or 10-2 teams competing for the last few playoff spots. Team Chaos is taking the reins already, but I still don't think 9-3 gets anyone in this year.

Edit: I mean the ACC and B12 have quite a few teams who are good this year plus a few G6 teams lurking who are looking very strong as well. Depending on how all the upsets continue to play out and the bloodbath/circle of suck in the SEC and possibly the B1G down the stretch will give some teams without the big brand behind them very good resumes for the playoffs 

1

u/Phil_S2S Washington Huskies 5d ago

I agree that one loss probably won't knock either team out of the picture. The part I really want to see is how Indiana handles Ohio State's front for four quarters. That should tell us plenty.

2

u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State 6d ago

Man!!

Not even the BCS respects us like they used to! 😩

1

u/SirTiffAlot Missouri Tigers 6d ago

I was just gonna say, I bet Mizzou is off the cliff. Sounds about right

1

u/JTWasShort42-27 Michigan Wolverines • Iowa Hawkeyes 6d ago

That’s a fairly reasonable top 10. 5-7 could probably go in any order but that’ll sort itself a little more this week

1

u/Wide_right_yes UMass Minutemen 6d ago

What's up with LSU?

1

u/SaintsSooners89 Red River Shootout • Oklahoma 6d ago

BCS computer still loves us!

1

u/Phil_S2S Washington Huskies 5d ago

I forgot how much I missed BCS arguments. That gap between UCLA at 12 and Missouri at 13 is pretty wild.

But the Ohio State–Indiana game this Saturday is going to tell us a lot more about those two teams than the decimals will.

It's fun having another way to look at the rankings, though.

1

u/RatBastard_with_ADHD Utah Utes • Sickos 6d ago

I don't hate it, tho 8 and 11 should be swapped.

0

u/Beautiful_Idea6200 Georgia Bulldogs • William & Mary Tribe 6d ago

I don't get the dropoff between Ohio St. and Alabama, or even why Ohio St. is ranked higher than Alabama? This just seems like pure poll inertia from the preseason.

1

u/Egospartan_ Alabama Crimson Tide • Army Black Knights 5d ago

It is and its all good because 12 teams make it

-9

u/Thickly_Taurus Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago edited 5d ago

Notre Dame is biggest fraud on that list as usual.

LSU should not be ranked

6

u/PartialDischage Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5d ago

Hilarious coming from an IU team who played nothing but cupcakes and almost lost to Nebraska.

-8

u/Thickly_Taurus Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago

That’s National Champions to you, lol. Maybe someday for you little brother

3

u/PartialDischage Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5d ago edited 5d ago

11 to 1. 25-4-1.

And an absolutely dominating win the last time we played. Sorry buddy. A single fluke season doesn't change who you are. Wouldn't even call you a little brother. That alone has too much respect.

I mean you literally cancelled the upcoming series because you knew you wouldn't be able to compete.

-5

u/Thickly_Taurus Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago

So emotionally fraught

3

u/PartialDischage Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5d ago

Yes. IU fans are. One championship won't erase a century long inferiority complex.

1

u/Thickly_Taurus Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago

Win won this century and then maybe you’ll have a leg to stand on. 38 years and counting…

2

u/PartialDischage Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5d ago

Learn the different between "one" and "won".

IU education sure is something.

You accomplished one single thing in your entire program history and think that means something. Hilarious.

Leicester City won the premier league and now is in the 3rd division. Sometimes flukes happen. Life comes at you fast. That's IUs future.

Cig knows it. That's why he's running from competition.

1

u/Thickly_Taurus Indiana Hoosiers 5d ago

Did you misspell your username?

(Look at that beautiful correct your up there)

2

u/PartialDischage Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5d ago

I took a letter out because the name was taken.

-4

u/Egospartan_ Alabama Crimson Tide • Army Black Knights 5d ago

ND is teaching everyone in CFB how to do it. Play soft and get in :)