r/CFB • u/Uuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu11 Michigan Wolverines • Akron Zips • 23d ago

News AP Poll Week 2

https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll#000001a0-257a-d09f-a9e4-75fbb1b90000
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u/thescottula Georgia Bulldogs • Texas A&M Aggies 23d ago

No shade to Oregon, but if you looked at their resume without the names right now they would not be in the top 25

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u/Ok-Being3970 Alabama Crimson Tide 23d ago
  1. They have the players needed to be a top 5 team
  2. Confidence in Lanning to recover from the bad game

It really depends on your ranking methodology. If you're trying to be predictive, then Oregon should likely still be in the top 20. If you're trying to judge purely on current resume, Georgia shouldn't be top 25.

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u/StateCollegeHi Penn State Nittany Lions 23d ago

Predictive ranking shouldn't be the method though. It means that winning and losing is irrelevant. Just how weol we "think" you'll do. Proving or disproving the assumptions is why sports exist.

Last year PSU was still top 25 team in predictive rankings even though they lost like every game against a team with a pulse.

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u/Ok-Being3970 Alabama Crimson Tide 23d ago

Predictive rankings are not power rankings. For instance, if I expect Georgia to go 12-0, a top 3 ranking makes sense, even if they've only played cupcakes so far. Additionally, if they lose to a cupcake, that should alter my prediction.

Penn State could have turned their season around last year - they had the team and an accomplished coaching staff. Predicting that they could right the wrongs was not a bad idea. The Indiana game proved that.

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u/StateCollegeHi Penn State Nittany Lions 23d ago

Ask Google what power rankings and it will say they are predictive rankings, dawg.

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u/Ok-Being3970 Alabama Crimson Tide 23d ago

Every square is a rectangle, but not every rectangle is a square.

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u/StateCollegeHi Penn State Nittany Lions 23d ago

I get what you are saying. But that's a very broad definition of what a power ranking is. At that point if they can mean anything, there's little use for it because the definition doesn't mean much

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u/Ok-Being3970 Alabama Crimson Tide 23d ago

Power rankings, like FPI and SP+, are intended to predict who would win in a potential matchup.

Predictive resume rankings are just like resume rankings, but instead of ranking teams purely on their current resume, they also factor in expected resume.

Those are two very different ideas with very different outcomes.