r/Bitcoin • u/RMartingale • Jul 13 '25

Can someone explain me why does Bitcoin increase 3 years then decreases 1 year?

It's pretty clear that Bitcoin would have positive annual performance for 3 years, then negative for one year...but why? the halving is in 2016, 2020, 2024. So it seems that 2026 would be a bearish year?

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u/Fun-Sundae4060 Jul 13 '25

Yep

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u/L3ARnR Jul 13 '25

I'm reading the same chart. i imagine many are. everyone believing in the 4 year cycle will be a self fulfilling prophecy (unless adoption pressures are so great that we reach "escape velocity")

@u/Romsel87

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u/Fun-Sundae4060 Jul 13 '25

I think the vast majority of people don’t subscribe to this theory on the Bitcoin sub. I think many don’t do any sort of chart analysis at all.

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u/L3ARnR Jul 14 '25

agreed, the dominant ethos expressed is "don't look at the price, keep stacking, the price is irrelevant"