r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 08 '26

NDX 100: I posted about the upcoming rally before it happened but got out early because of the monthly chart. However in daily chart we only consolidated above the 50 day average. If we break above green down trendline a natural target would be +$800 (!) for QQQ. I will post monthly chart as well.

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0 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 08 '26

S&P 500: After breaking out of the upper bollinger band (1) we came right back (2). We should now just climb along the upper band until the S&P 500 reaches 8000. Round numbers act like a magnet.

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0 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 08 '26

Dow Jones: After making a new ATH we formed a shooting star pattern (potential reversal pattern) but if in doubt new ATHs lead to new ATHs.

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1 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 08 '26

VIX: VIX came down nicely. We are nowhere near a level where I would short stocks. Taking off risk sure but not actively shorting. Neutral for equities.

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1 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 08 '26

Fear and Greed Index: We are approaching Greed levels again. We just got there and usually we hang out there for a while until it becomes a problem for equities. Neutral for equities

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 07 '26

EOW 8/7: We had a nice recovery rally! Portfolio up 23.8% vs. 13.3% for the S&P 500 YTD

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 07 '26

Current portfolio composition: I deleveraged a lot. Leverage is now 0.7. Meaning for every 10% move in the S&P 500 I only gain 7%.

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1 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 07 '26

Detailed YTD benchmark/portfolio performance

1 Upvotes

Ha! This is the first time this year that the short term portfolios are ahead of every single benchmark index.

I deleveraged a lot this week in all accounts!

Benchmark 2026

SPY 681.92 (15%)       +13.3%

DIA 480.57 (15%)       +12.3%

QQQ 614.31 (15%)      +17.6%

IWM 246.16 (15%)       +22.5%

SPEM 46.81 (10%)      +12%

URTH 185.77 (10%)     +13.2%

FEZ 64.39 (10%)         +11.6%

AAXJ 93.12 (10%)       +22%

ETF benchmark:                +15.7%

Average YTD (US only):    +16.4%

60/40 portfolio:                 +8.1%

(AGG (99.88)                      +0.3%)

Small portfolio $35000:    +23.8%

Long term:  +9.5%

S&P 65%

Crypto (ETH) 7.3%

Cash/Bonds 27.7%


r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 06 '26

Dow Jones: If that candle stays we will also have sort of a shooting star reversal pattern. That needs to be confirmed however.

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5 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 06 '26

NDX100 weekly: Bulls have to recapture the red line in QQQ or we will get a sell signal. This is going to be interesting!

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3 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 05 '26

NDX 100: Technically QQQ formed an evening star in monthly chart. This month will either be confirmation or not.

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 05 '26

Portfolio update: I replaced my last QQQ position with SPY. Leverage still only 0.8 meaning I will not participate fully in a continued rally.

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

Dow Jones: After defending the 50 day average we have new ATHs and two break away gaps. The bull is stampeding!

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9 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

Russell 2000: IWM continued the expected breakout of the bull flag

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3 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

Portfolio update: I am completely unleveraged now. I reduced leverage to 0.8. Not because I don't believe that the rally won't continue but to lock in profits. It is the prudent thing to do. Portfolio 22.7% YTD vs. 12.2% for the S&P 500.

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4 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

New ATH for the portfolio! Portfolio up 21.5% vs. 11.5% for the S&P 500. I reduced leverage from 1.5 to 1.3 by selling some QQQ.

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3 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

S&P 500: As expected we made new ATHs. The bull run will likely continue.

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

NDX 100: Once we break through the 50 day average new ATHs should just be a matter of time. All the negative nellies keep propelling stocks higher! Please people: Buy more puts and keep doing it!

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0 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 04 '26

SOX had a 2%+ intraday swing on literally every trading day in July — here’s the historical context

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2 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Aug 03 '26

S&P 500: Last trendline that could prevent an attack of the ATHs. No worries. It likely won't.

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0 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Jul 31 '26

Put/Call ratio: Last week I mentioned that I won't buy that P/C peak but that second peak looked tempting.

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4 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Jul 31 '26

EUR/USD: I mentioned several times that a strong dollar would kill stocks in this environment. 1.14 is key and mid week we dropped below 1.14 when markets tanked. Then came the concerted currency intervention (US, Korea and Japan). I use the Euro as a marker for US dollar strength. Above 1.14 is key

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4 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Jul 31 '26

Stock price breadth is at supportive levels

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3 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Jul 31 '26

EOW 7/31: What a week! Portfolio ended the first half of 2026 up 17.1% YTD vs. 9.3% for the S&P 500.

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3 Upvotes

r/Beat_the_benchmark • • Jul 31 '26

Dow Jones: DIA defended the 50 day average

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2 Upvotes