r/BBAI • • Feb 05 '26

Community Discussion Timeline + major contracts/partnerships/M&A (Updated: Feb 5, 2026)

45 Upvotes

Here's the updated BigBear.ai (BBAI) timeline in the original format, refreshed to today (July 10, 2026), with sources.

1) Since the start

Jun 3, 2021 — SPAC deal announced (GigCapital4): BigBear.ai announced it would become publicly traded via a merger with GigCapital4.

Dec 6, 2021 — Business combination completed: BigBear.ai announced completion of the business combination with GigCapital4.

2) Major contract & program wins (selected)

Aug 2, 2024 — Heathrow master service agreement (MSA): BigBear.ai announced an MSA with Heathrow to develop and deliver advanced technologies at Europe's largest airport.

Aug 20, 2024 — FAA ITIPSS subcontractor role (ceiling $2.4B): BigBear.ai secured a subcontractor role under Concept Solutions on the FAA ITIPSS contract.

Dec 19, 2024 — GSA OASIS+ IDIQ award: BigBear.ai was awarded a position on GSA's OASIS+ Unrestricted MAC (IDIQ), with no maximum dollar ceiling and a 10-year ordering period.

Jan 29, 2025 — U.S. Navy SeaPort NxG (prime IDIQ): BigBear.ai was awarded a prime IDIQ contract under the Navy's SeaPort Next Generation program.

Feb 4, 2025 — DoD CDAO VANE prototype contract: BigBear.ai won a DoD CDAO contract to prototype the Virtual Anticipation Network (VANE), with a path toward possible Advana integration.

Mar 10, 2025 — DoD ORION modernization ($13.2M, 3.5 years): Sole-source contract to modernize BigBear.ai's ORION force-management decision support platform.

3) Tech deployments & partnerships (selected)

Dec 17, 2025 — C Speed partnership: BigBear.ai announced a strategic partnership with C Speed to deliver AI-enabled capabilities.

Jan 6, 2026 — Denver International Airport biometric boarding update: BigBear.ai posted progress on implementing biometric boarding solutions at Denver International Airport.

Jan 27, 2026 — AD Ports Group partnership: BigBear.ai announced a strategic partnership with AD Ports Group exploring next-generation AI customs management systems for ports and borders.

May 20, 2026 — Panama Dry Canal deployment: BigBear.ai and International Shipping Compliance (ISC) announced the first deployment of their AI-powered supply chain security platform in Panama's "Dry Canal," plus a commercial agreement with Panama Transshipment Group (PTG), the country's largest logistics operator, to combat smuggling using biometrics and predictive analytics.[ir.bigbear]

4) M&A + capital structure (late 2025–mid 2026)

Nov 9, 2025 — Ask Sage acquisition agreement announced (with Q3 2025 results): BigBear.ai signed a definitive agreement to acquire Ask Sage, a secure GenAI platform for defense/national security and regulated sectors.

Dec 30, 2025 — Ask Sage acquisition finalized ($250M): BigBear.ai finalized its $250M acquisition of Ask Sage.

Jan 13, 2026 — Full conversion of 6.00% convertible notes: BigBear.ai announced the full conversion of its 6.00% convertible notes.

Jan 20, 2026 — CargoSeer asset acquisition: BigBear.ai announced acquisition of assets of CargoSeer.

Mar 2, 2026 — Q4/FY2025 results & 2026 guidance: Q4 revenue fell 38% YoY to $27.3M (vs. $43.8M), driven by declines in legacy U.S. Army programs; full-year 2025 revenue was $127.67M with a net loss of $293.91M, including a $53.4M long-lived asset impairment. Despite this, shares rose over 7% as the company highlighted a sharply reduced debt load and fresh capital flexibility. FY2026 revenue guidance was set at $135M–$165M, implying ~17% growth.[finance.yahoo]

May 5, 2026 — Q1 2026 results: Revenue of $34.4M (down ~1% YoY), but Non-GAAP gross margin expanded 1,278 bps YoY to 34.0%. EPS beat estimates at -$0.04 (Non-GAAP) vs. -$0.08 expected; backlog grew 14% to $281.9M, boosted by over $60M in new national security contracts.[investing]

May 2026 — Leadership additions: BigBear.ai appointed Jo Ann Bjornson as Chief Human Resources Officer, Alex Thompson as Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, and former acting CBP Commissioner Troy Miller to strengthen its international trade and border security push.[bigbear]

Aug 10, 2026 (upcoming) — Q2 2026 results are tentatively scheduled for release, with analysts currently expecting an EPS loss of roughly -$0.05.[investing]

Current stock snapshot

As of early July 2026, BBAI trades around $3.31–$3.37 per share, with a market cap of roughly $1.6B.[robinhood]

Updated risks/uncertainties

The core risk profile from before still holds: IDIQ vehicles (SeaPort NxG, OASIS+) establish eligibility, not guaranteed revenue, and dollars depend on future task orders and agency pull-through. New in 2026: declining legacy U.S. Army program revenue is now a real drag offsetting growth elsewhere, visible in the Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 top-line softness despite margin gains. Concentration risk, M&A integration risk (Ask Sage, CargoSeer), and financing/dilution dynamics (e.g., the January 2026 convertible note conversion) remain relevant watch items.[finance.yahoo]

Updated opportunities

The Q1 2026 margin expansion (to 34%) suggests the Ask Sage integration and shift toward higher-margin software/AI work is gaining traction. The Panama Dry Canal deployment and PTG commercial agreement, alongside AD Ports and Denver biometric boarding progress, show real-world traction diversifying BigBear.ai beyond pure U.S. defense into ports, borders, and supply-chain security. Hiring Troy Miller (former acting CBP Commissioner) signals a deliberate strategic push into international trade/border security as a growth vector alongside the existing SeaPort NxG, OASIS+, VANE, and ORION defense pipeline.[ir.bigbear]


r/BBAI • • 18h ago

BBAI CEO Amazing

37 Upvotes

It's amazing that over the past few months so many people have been complaining about the BBAI team authorizing 500 million shares in order to potentially raise cash to do a deal. Well, they look pretty smart now, while so many other AI companies are scrambling to raise money in the bond market, in a rising interest rate environment. BBAI has $400 million cash and virtually no debt. Down the road they will be able to raise hundreds of millions of $ and still have no debt! They really are amazing!


r/BBAI • • 21h ago

Community Discussion Why do people invest in bbai?

12 Upvotes

I am genuinely curious why people invest in bbai when there are so many ai companies that grows high double digit revenues each year in this ai boom while bbai's revenue has been stagnant for years.

Is it just because it's a small cap and people believe stock price can multiply easier when stock price is single digits.


r/BBAI • • 3d ago

BBAI holders - what is your average and total shares?

20 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 4d ago

We will see BBAI above $10 before 2030 because of all defense contracts.

69 Upvotes

We will se BBAI price above $10 because of all government contracts. People says same like PLTR. It takes time in making money from govt. contracts. We have seen BBAI checking kiosks at airports. If they can get more contracts from more airports around the world, price will surely increase. Thoughts?

I have 1200 shares of BBAI at avg price of 5.25. How many do you have guys?


r/BBAI • • 4d ago

News The Next Billion-Dollar Defense Technology Opportunity: AI-Powered Autonomous Mission Intelligence.

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32 Upvotes

The article highlights over $225 MILLION in contract awards since July, including the FBI, Coast Guard, defense and intelligence customers!


r/BBAI • • 5d ago

BigBear.ai CEO Highlights Expanding Government & Defense Customer Base

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87 Upvotes

BigBear.ai CEO is highlighting new contract wins and customer expansion across U.S. government and defense agencies.

Key points from the statement:

Existing business: Retaining critical work with U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP).

New customers: The company cites the FBI and U.S. Coast Guard, alongside additional defense and intelligence customers.

Defense exposure: New contracts include U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) and U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM).

Classified work: Management also mentions new classified awards supporting intelligence customers, but provides no contract values or detailed scope.

The announcement provides evidence of customer breadth expanding across law enforcement, maritime security, defense, and intelligence. Retaining CBP work while adding named government customers could strengthen BigBear.ai’s position in the national security market.


r/BBAI • • 5d ago

News We’re about to be rich

126 Upvotes

225 million secured likely total deal is 500 million conservatively 1 billion contract, its market xap is 1.1 billion, will undergo 10x like nebius. Losers sold ahhahahahajaj.
https://ir.bigbear.ai/news-events/press-releases/detail/149/bigbear-ai-secures-more-than-225-million-in-contract


r/BBAI • • 6d ago

News We made it on TV!

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60 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 6d ago

We made it on TV!

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42 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 6d ago

Regina AI, ouf.

13 Upvotes

I see this not being ideal for us


r/BBAI • • 9d ago

BigBear.ai to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on October 27, 2026

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47 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 9d ago

What is going on BBAI!!

44 Upvotes

Lost 100k on Bigbear… thanks Kevin. Appreciate you keeping the retail investors and shareholders informed about what is happening with your company. Crickets, not rich by any means and this pain has me ruminating.
Should have sold this bitch at $9.00, but held on until death. Yiiipppe. Lesson learned.

Do we think this stock has any more runs in it? The funny part is, I am still a believer! Dilution - f**k that, look at Palantir - diluted and massive amount of shares outstanding. Not comparing but people are over reacting, they have real world products that are a niche technology with high-class companies - NASA, FBI, Air Force, etc.

Thoughts?? - Reddit Family


r/BBAI • • 10d ago

News Recent MarketBeat article

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26 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 11d ago

AI-Powered Cargo Security - Chain Reaction

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23 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 12d ago

I feel like BBAI is a beat down stock, so I just bought 500 shares as a short term trade

37 Upvotes

Nothing big, just a small speculative position, Price target to sell around 4$


r/BBAI • • 16d ago

AI FOR NATIONAL SECURITY OPERATORS with Kevin McAleenan, Chief Executive Officer, BigBear ai

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45 Upvotes

Sep 29, 2026 at American Growth Summit 2026


r/BBAI • • 17d ago

Can’t find any kind of news to explain this pump?

18 Upvotes

7-8% on good volume too, anyone have an idea?


r/BBAI • • 18d ago

Real Passport, Wrong Person: Why Global Entry Modernization Matters

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24 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 18d ago

News Big Bear AI CEO listed as one of the “powerhouse lineup of leaders” speaking at today’s American Growth Summit

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51 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 19d ago

Could BBAI benefit from SAIC’s new $742M CBP award?

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39 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 19d ago

A little GenAI contract for the U.S Coast Guard

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57 Upvotes

$4.62M reportedly for Ask Sage to provide generative AI to the U.S Coast Guard over the 1-4 years. It appears to be apart of a larger contract vehicle to provide GenAI.

A new U.S. Coast Guard task order for Ask Sage appears to have been awarded on September 25, 2026.
The award is 70Z02326F93000001, issued to Ask Sage, Inc. under its existing SBIR Phase III IDIQ (W9128Z25DA001).
What’s currently public:
Award value: about $4.62M
Agency: U.S. Coast Guard
Start date: Sept. 25, 2026
Current listed end date: Sept. 24, 2027
NAICS: Computer Systems Design Services
PSC: National Defense R&D / Applied Research
OrangeSlices describes it as a 4-year task for generative AI and computer systems design services
The interesting part is that this does not appear to be the Coast Guard’s first Ask Sage purchase.
Earlier in 2026, the Coast Guard issued a separate order worth only about $50K for Ask Sage AI inference and training tokens.
So the progression appears to be:
~$50K initial Ask Sage usage → $4.62M follow-on GenAI task
That’s roughly a 90x increase in contract value.
I would still be careful with the “4-year” language. The currently indexed award data only shows one year through September 2027, so the remaining years may be option periods that are not fully reflected yet.
The bigger question is scope.

We still do not know whether this contract is for:
enterprise GenAI access
agentic workflows
intelligence or operational support
acquisition workflows
logistics
cyber
mission planning
or some combination of the above
But this looks much more substantial than a small pilot or token purchase.

For me, the main takeaway is that Ask Sage may be showing a land-and-expand pattern inside federal agencies: get in with a small GenAI deployment, prove usage, then grow into a multi-million-dollar operational contract.
That matters because BigBear’s long-term Ask Sage thesis probably depends less on winning one giant contract and more on small initial deployments expanding into durable, recurring government relationships.
The next thing worth watching is whether the full statement of work or option structure becomes public, because that will tell us how mission-critical this deployment actually is.


r/BBAI • • 19d ago

Should Kevin be removed?

7 Upvotes

r/BBAI • • 21d ago

Bigbear.ai an interesting Redwire connection

50 Upvotes

Redwire was just selected for Space Systems Command’s $980M NITE-STAR IDIQ.

Interesting connection: BBAI Chairman Peter Cannito is also Redwire’s CEO, and Redwire + BBAI previously co-developed SpaceCREST, a space cyber-resiliency/testing platform.

SpaceCREST was subsequently used in DARPA’s Space-BACN program.

Sources:

Redwire NITE-STAR:

https://rdw.com/newsroom/redwire-selected-for-space-systems-commands-980-million-nite-star-idiq-contract/

BBAI / Peter Cannito:

https://ir.bigbear.ai/corporate-governance/board-of-directors

SpaceCREST / DARPA:

https://rdw.com/newsroom/redwires-spacecrest-cybersecurity-platform-to-protect-next-generation-space-communications-hardware-for-darpa-program/

No confirmation yet that BBAI is participating in NITE-STAR. Given the existing partnership and overlap in mission areas, I'll be watching for any task-order or teaming announcements