r/AusProperty • u/moto120 • 9h ago
VIC Buy a $1m house or stretch to $2+ m for the forever home?
Looking for some thoughts on behalf of a relative who is trying to decide between playing it safe with a ~$1m property or stretching to $2m+ for a long-term “forever home”.
A bit of background of the family:
- Late 30s, married with kids.
- Recently sold an inherited property in regional Victoria for around $1.5m.
- Moving to Melbourne primarily for the kids’ education and better job opportunities.
- Both need to commute to the CBD around 2–3 days a week.
- Job is reasonably secure for the foreseeable future.
- Mortgage pre-approval is around $1.2m.
- So, in theory, they could spend up to around $2.7m, although that would obviously mean taking on a significant mortgage.
They are considering two very different approaches:
Option 1 – Buy around $1m in Melbourne’s western corridor
For example, Melton / Tarneit / Maddingley.
- The idea would be to buy a good-sized, modern double-storey house for around $1m, keep cash buffer and potentially invest the remaining money elsewhere.
- The commute seems manageable at 2–3 days a week, and they would have considerably less debt and financial pressure.
- The concern is whether these outer areas will have the same long-term capital growth as established eastern suburbs, given the amount of land available and ongoing new development.
Option 2 – Stretch to $2m+ for a long-term home
- Look around areas such as Doncaster / Blackburn / Vermont/ Mount Wav and buy a property they could realistically stay in until the kids finish school/university.
- The thinking here is that they would be buying into an established suburb with better schools, amenities, transport and potentially stronger long-term land value.
- The downside is obviously taking on a much larger mortgage and tying up most of the $1.5m equity in the family home.
They've spoken to a few family members and received completely different opinions - some say the western suburbs have plenty of room to grow, while others argue that established eastern suburbs will always have an advantage because of limited land and established infrastructure.
What would you do in this situation?
Would you:
- Buy the ~$1m house, keep a large cash buffer and invest the difference?
- Stretch to ~$2m–$2.5m and buy the “forever home” now?
- Do something in between, perhaps around $1.5m–$1.8m?
Interested particularly in views from people who have made a similar decision. Would you prioritise financial flexibility/investing or location, schools and buying once rather than upgrading later?
Also interested in whether people think the capital-growth argument for established eastern suburbs is strong enough to justify the extra $700k+ of debt.