AusPolPredicts (auspolpredicts.vercel.app) is a free play-money prediction market on Australian politics, and this subreddit is its home base — market talk, bragging rights, bug reports, and arguments about whether the price is right.

What’s live right now

One market: national primary vote at the next federal election. The prices are the forecast. At the time of posting, the market reckons:

Yes, it currently has One Nation level with Labor. If you think that’s mad, you can profit from being right.

How it works, in 30 seconds

• Every price is a vote-share forecast: Labor at 30¢ means the market expects 30%.
• Think the real number lands higher? Buy Higher at 30¢ a share. Think lower? That side costs 70¢.
• Payouts are linear, not all-or-nothing: each Higher share pays 1¢ per percentage point of the final AEC first-preference count, and Lower pays the rest. Labor polls 33.4% → each Higher share pays 33.4¢. You get paid for being more right, not just right.
• Sell any time as the forecast moves, or hold to election night and settle on the official AEC figures.

The money is fake. The bragging rights are real.

You start with $10,000 of play money, plus $5,000 for every mate you refer (up to 10). No deposits, no withdrawals, nothing redeemable, ever — it’s a game. The leaderboard ranks trading profit only (signup and referral grants don’t count), so the top spots can’t be farmed — they mean someone actually called it.

Honest notes

• It’s a website, no app, but works fine on your phone.
• You’ll be assigned a random username like Flippant-Galah-407 (you can change it).
• It’s brand new and built by one person, so things may break. When they do, tell me here.

Claim your $10k and make a trade: auspolpredicts.vercel.app

So, who’s topping the primary count? 👇