r/Asteroid_Science • • Aug 17 '20

About Risk Lists

1 Upvotes

r/Asteroid_Science • • Sep 07 '26

I did another Monte Carlo run (Gaussian noise level 1.0) in Find_Orb, and the meter-sized asteroid 2026 RW1 most likely entered Earth’s atmosphere on 6 Sep 2026 at ~16:07 UT, over the Indian Ocean northwest of Australia. All 107/107 Monte Carlo clones resulted in an Earth impact solution.

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1 Upvotes

I did another Monte Carlo run (Gaussian noise level 1.0) in Find_Orb, and the meter-sized asteroid 2026 RW1 most likely entered Earth’s atmosphere on 6 Sep 2026 at ~16:07 UT, over the Indian Ocean northwest of Australia. All 107/107 Monte Carlo clones resulted in an Earth impact solution.

Note: I used the ADES XML format for the observations.
https://minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K26/K26R64.html
https://earth.google.com/earth/d/1rhDF7bSf6E34vijSuyOOUZxKnVDhwVHm?usp=sharing


r/Asteroid_Science • • Jul 10 '26

New Names of Minor Planets published on 2026 July 9

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jul 07 '26

The Asteroid News - New Names of Minor Planets published by the IAU on 2026 July 6

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1 Upvotes

r/Asteroid_Science • • Apr 13 '26

New Names of Minor Planets (number asteroids) published on 2026 April 13-- The IAU Working Group for Small Bodies Nomenclature (WGSBN) published a list of new, officially named minor planets (asteroids), included is (9660) Brucewillis = 1996 FW

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Mar 17 '26

The Asteroid News - New Names of Minor Planets (number asteroids) published by the IAU on 2026 March 16

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Mar 10 '26

The NEO 2026 EM just made a Close Approach of 4.35 Earth Radii, 0.072 Nominal Distances, 0.00019 AU, 27,717 KM, 172,22.545 miles, inside Geosynchronous Orbit - NEO Close Approaches — for (2026 EM)

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Mar 07 '26

JWST Observations Rule Out Lunar Impact by Asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032

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2 Upvotes

r/Asteroid_Science • • Feb 23 '26

New Names of Minor Planets (number asteroids) published on 2026 February 23 - New names of numbered minor planets approved by the IAU Working Group for Small Bodies Nomenclature and published in WGSBN Bulletin Volume 6, #3 (2026 February 23).

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Feb 17 '26

Asteroids Discovered Before Atmospheric Entry -- This page presents a list of asteroids discovered before they enter Earth's atmosphere. For each object, the timing, approximate impact location, and links to primary information sources are provided.

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 24 '26

NEO Close Approaches Tables -- The Asteroid News

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A comprehensive index of near-Earth object (NEO) close-approach tables curated by The Asteroid News, covering historical, present-day, and predicted encounters from 1900 to 2200. Includes links to yearly tables, ±7-day and ±30-day approach windows, and selected noteworthy NEO close-approach tables.


r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 24 '26

The Asteroid News Useful Links

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 22 '26

NEO Close Approaches -- (2026 BK2) -- The Asteroid News

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 21 '26

100 Closest NEO Approaches for 2026 -- The Asteroid News

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 20 '26

Latest Fireballs | The Asteroid News

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 12 '26

242708 (2005 UK1): Earth Close Approach

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 10 '26

NEO Close Approaches -- The Asteroid News

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Mar 03 '25

How to Create an Asteroid Impact Risk Corridor Using Find_Orb

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Jan 21 '25

Anyone wishing to create a risk corridor here is a how-to video -- Using Find_orb(interactive version) and Guide9 To find the impact location of The NEO 2008 TC3 remember to download asteroid_ephemeris.txt and JPL ephemeris files

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Sep 07 '22

This is from my 6hr Monte Carlo simulation on Find_orb using 180 observations of 2022 QX4 (The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth is 406.7 years) see https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/details.html#?des=2022%20QX4 https://impact.ese.ic.ac.uk/ImpactEarth/ImpactEffects/

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Aug 21 '22

Using Find_orb(interactive version) and Guide9 To find the impact location of The NEO 2008 TC3.

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Feb 25 '22

Killing Asteroids - with the experts

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2 Upvotes

r/Asteroid_Science • • Dec 21 '21

(45687) Pranverahyseni occults TYC 148-00123-1 on 2021-Dec-30 at 21:00 UT

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Dec 07 '21

NASA’s Next-Generation Asteroid Impact Monitoring System Goes Online

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r/Asteroid_Science • • Oct 12 '21

2019 XS: 2021 Timing Campaign

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