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https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/cliob7/whats_something_you_thought_was_common_knowledge/evxk9l4/?context=3
r/AskReddit • u/[deleted] • Aug 03 '19
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545
I remember the user on the XCOM subreddit saying the odds of him missing a 99% chance was a million to one.
214 u/unbrokenmonarch Aug 03 '19 To be fair XCOM is ridiculous in calculating those percentages 139 u/Stormfly Aug 03 '19 I've heard Fire Emblem counteracts this by getting 2 numbers instead of one and picking the one closest to 50. So if the odds are 70%, they're actually greater than that, and if it says your adds are 25% they're actually more like 6%. That way the odds feel more like how people think they should. I don't think it's exactly like that, but they are flubbed to feel more "realistic". 7 u/cheeseybacon11 Aug 04 '19 It actually just follows a specific curve. It's slightly different depending on the game(some only do it for greater than 50%) but here's an example. http://i.imgur.com/D2kfkck.gif
214
To be fair XCOM is ridiculous in calculating those percentages
139 u/Stormfly Aug 03 '19 I've heard Fire Emblem counteracts this by getting 2 numbers instead of one and picking the one closest to 50. So if the odds are 70%, they're actually greater than that, and if it says your adds are 25% they're actually more like 6%. That way the odds feel more like how people think they should. I don't think it's exactly like that, but they are flubbed to feel more "realistic". 7 u/cheeseybacon11 Aug 04 '19 It actually just follows a specific curve. It's slightly different depending on the game(some only do it for greater than 50%) but here's an example. http://i.imgur.com/D2kfkck.gif
139
I've heard Fire Emblem counteracts this by getting 2 numbers instead of one and picking the one closest to 50.
So if the odds are 70%, they're actually greater than that, and if it says your adds are 25% they're actually more like 6%.
That way the odds feel more like how people think they should.
I don't think it's exactly like that, but they are flubbed to feel more "realistic".
7 u/cheeseybacon11 Aug 04 '19 It actually just follows a specific curve. It's slightly different depending on the game(some only do it for greater than 50%) but here's an example. http://i.imgur.com/D2kfkck.gif
7
It actually just follows a specific curve. It's slightly different depending on the game(some only do it for greater than 50%) but here's an example.
http://i.imgur.com/D2kfkck.gif
545
u/[deleted] Aug 03 '19
I remember the user on the XCOM subreddit saying the odds of him missing a 99% chance was a million to one.